Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✗ (23.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +23 (81-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Sexton * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 5 | - |
| D. Ingram * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Key * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Hall * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| H. Jones * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Petty Jr. | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| A. Reese | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. Johnson Jr. | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Giddens | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| G. Smith | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Schaffer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Barnes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Paschall * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Bridges * | 26 | 7-16 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | - |
| P. Booth * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Brunson * | 24 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| O. Spellman * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. DiVincenzo | 31 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. Gillespie | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Cosby-Roundtree | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Delaney | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Samuels Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Leibig | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter