Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.7% | 95.3% | +16.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +23 (81-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Dazon Ingram * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Braxton Key * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Donta Hall * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| John Petty | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Alex Reese | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Giddens | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Galin Smith | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Lawson Schaffer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Barnes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Paschall * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mikal Bridges * | 26 | 7-16 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Phil Booth * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 24 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Omari Spellman * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 31 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Collin Gillespie | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tim Delaney | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tom Leibig | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter