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2018-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 48.2% 51.8% -
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% -
Margin 49.4% 50.6% +0.1 (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% -
Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.0% 28.0% -
Log Adjusted 71.9% 28.1% -

Actual: Florida Gators -18 (50-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ingram * 32 4-7 0-1 0-3 7 1 1 0 4 8 6 -
C. Sexton * 31 7-15 2-5 1-2 8 6 2 1 3 17 16 -
D. Hall * 28 7-7 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 1 3 14 17 -
J. Petty Jr. * 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
D. Giddens * 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
B. Key 34 5-7 1-3 2-2 5 2 0 1 3 13 11 -
H. Jones 23 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 2 6 2 -
A. Johnson Jr. 21 4-8 1-2 1-3 2 2 2 0 0 10 8 -
G. Smith 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Chiozza * 35 2-9 0-3 0-1 2 4 4 1 2 4 4 -
K. Allen * 33 5-12 3-7 3-3 4 3 3 0 1 16 13 -
J. Hudson * 30 3-10 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 5 6 -7 -
K. Stone * 30 4-9 1-3 3-4 5 1 1 0 2 12 8 -
E. Koulechov * 28 5-10 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 11 2 -
K. Hayes 17 0-2 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 1 0 0 5 -
M. Okauru 11 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 0 2 0 0 1 1 -
D. Ballard 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Bassett 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
G. Gak 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter