Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +1 (80-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Jelks * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Jordan Strawberry * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Desmond Ringer * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ethan Stair * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Demetre Rivers | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Cory Kilby | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Cohen | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jaylen Stowe | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mac Brydon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mason Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Petty * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Donta Hall * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Dazon Ingram * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Collin Sexton * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Braxton Key * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Alex Reese | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Riley Norris | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Giddens | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Herb Jones | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter