Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 27 | - |
| John Petty * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Donta Hall * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Daniel Giddens * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Dazon Ingram * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Braxton Key | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Herb Jones | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Galin Smith | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alex Reese | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinndary Weatherspoon * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Lamar Peters * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Aric Holman * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Nick Weatherspoon * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Xavian Stapleton | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Carter | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Eli Wright | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E.J. Datcher | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter