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Atlanta Dream

Also known as: ATL
Program History

2025 Team Stats (49 games)

83.5
PPG
76.8
Opp
+6.7
Margin
43.9%
FG%
33.4%
3P%
78.5%
FT%
36.2
RPG
21.2
APG
11.3
TO
87.4
Pace
85.8
AdjO
75.9
AdjD
#2
Rank

Model Outputs

2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 1149 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 1112 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +45 elo More β†’ 1105 (#2) HCA +45 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More β†’ +11.8 (#2) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More β†’ +10.6 (#2) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.766 (#3) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.7 More β†’ 0.766 (#3) NetEff +8.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.1 More β†’ 0.863 (#2) AdjNet +13.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.3 More β†’ 0.868 (#2) AdjNet +13.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.8 | AdjD 75.9 More β†’ 0.712 (#2) AdjO 85.8 | AdjD 75.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 75.3 More β†’ 0.653 (#2) AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 75.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.747 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.736 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 49 More β†’ 1139 (#2) RD 112 | GP 49

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-05-07 @ Washington Mystics W 80 - 70
2025-05-10 vs Indiana Fever L 76 - 81
2025-05-16 @ Washington Mystics L 90 - 94
2025-05-20 @ Indiana Fever W 91 - 90
2025-05-22 vs Indiana Fever L 76 - 81
2025-05-24 vs Dallas Wings W 83 - 75
2025-05-25 vs Connecticut Sun W 79 - 55
2025-05-27 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 88 - 82
2025-05-30 @ Seattle Storm W 94 - 87
2025-06-06 @ Connecticut Sun L 76 - 84
2025-06-10 vs Indiana Fever W 77 - 58
2025-06-13 vs Chicago Sky W 88 - 70
2025-06-15 @ Washington Mystics W 89 - 56
2025-06-17 @ New York Liberty L 81 - 86
2025-06-20 vs Washington Mystics W 92 - 91
2025-06-22 vs Chicago Sky W 93 - 80
2025-06-24 @ Dallas Wings L 55 - 68
2025-06-27 vs Minnesota Lynx L 92 - 96
2025-06-29 vs New York Liberty W 90 - 81
2025-07-03 vs Seattle Storm L 79 - 80
2025-07-07 vs Golden State Valkyries W 90 - 81
2025-07-11 @ Indiana Fever L 82 - 99
2025-07-13 @ New York Liberty L 72 - 79
2025-07-16 @ Chicago Sky W 86 - 49
2025-07-22 @ Las Vegas Aces L 72 - 87
2025-07-23 @ Phoenix Mercury W 90 - 79
2025-07-27 @ Minnesota Lynx W 90 - 86
2025-07-29 vs Golden State Valkyries L 75 - 77
2025-07-30 @ Dallas Wings W 88 - 85
2025-08-01 vs Phoenix Mercury W 95 - 72
2025-08-03 vs Washington Mystics W 99 - 83
2025-08-07 @ Chicago Sky W 86 - 65
2025-08-10 @ Phoenix Mercury W 74 - 66
2025-08-13 @ Seattle Storm W 85 - 75
2025-08-15 vs Seattle Storm L 78 - 80
2025-08-17 @ Golden State Valkyries W 79 - 63
2025-08-19 @ Las Vegas Aces L 72 - 74
2025-08-21 vs Minnesota Lynx W 75 - 73
2025-08-23 vs New York Liberty W 78 - 62
2025-08-27 vs Las Vegas Aces L 75 - 81
2025-08-29 vs Dallas Wings W 100 - 78
2025-09-01 @ Connecticut Sun W 93 - 76
2025-09-03 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 86 - 75
2025-09-05 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 104 - 85
2025-09-08 vs Connecticut Sun W 87 - 62
2025-09-10 @ Connecticut Sun W 88 - 72
2025-09-14 vs Indiana Fever W 80 - 68
2025-09-16 @ Indiana Fever L 60 - 77
2025-09-18 vs Indiana Fever L 85 - 87

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Allisha Gray Allisha Gray G 47 33.9 17.7 5.5 3.4 1.1 0.4 1.7 13.0 13.4 - - - 43.9 36.9 80.2 -0.69 58.0 52.2
R. Howard R. Howard G 38 34.3 17.0 4.2 4.3 1.5 0.8 1.7 14.9 11.3 - - - 37.1 31.8 85.0 -0.03 51.8 47.2
Brionna Jones Brionna Jones F 49 26.3 12.5 7.0 2.2 1.1 0.8 1.5 9.5 12.6 - - - 53.2 28.0 77.2 0.97 58.5 54.7
Jordin Canada Jordin Canada G 32 27.1 10.6 3.1 5.6 1.6 0.3 2.1 9.4 9.6 - - - 39.4 28.1 72.8 0.17 48.7 43.5
B. Griner B. Griner C 44 19.6 9.4 4.9 0.9 0.1 1.1 1.5 7.5 7.6 - - - 51.8 36.4 76.1 - 56.6 53.0
N. Hillmon N. Hillmon F 49 25.7 8.6 6.2 2.3 0.5 0.5 1.2 6.8 10.1 - - - 45.7 31.7 82.9 - 57.7 54.3
T. Paopao T. Paopao G 48 16.5 6.0 1.6 2.3 0.5 0.2 1.0 5.2 4.5 - - - 45.2 38.4 53.3 - 57.0 56.9
Maya Caldwell Maya Caldwell G 46 17.9 5.0 3.0 1.7 0.8 0.2 1.0 4.6 5.1 - - - 41.4 34.2 80.0 -0.51 52.8 51.2
N. Coffey N. Coffey F 49 10.3 3.8 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 3.3 4.2 - - - 36.8 30.0 74.5 -1.01 50.2 45.1
Haley Jones Haley Jones G 2 9.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.5 1.5 - - - 40.0 50.0 100.0 0.43 59.5 50.0
Ashley Joens Ashley Joens G 2 8.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.5 - - - 16.7 25.0 100.0 - 36.3 25.0
M. Gakdeng M. Gakdeng - 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough Shatori Walker-Kimbrough G 45 8.9 1.9 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.6 2.1 - - - 40.8 37.1 82.4 -0.6 54.2 50.0
T. Thierry T. Thierry F 20 3.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.8 - - - 29.4 40.0 33.3 - 35.6 35.3
Sika KonΓ© Sika KonΓ© F 10 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.46 29.6 0.0
Kamiah Smalls Kamiah Smalls - 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Sellers S. Sellers - 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
E. Jefferson E. Jefferson - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG