Connecticut Sun
2026 Team Stats (44 games)
78.9
PPG
88.1
Opp
-9.2
Margin
42.5%
FG%
29.5%
3P%
70.9%
FT%
32.6
RPG
19.1
APG
13.7
TO
82.3
Est. poss./game
78.1
Adj PPG
86.6
Adj Opp PPG
#15
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 863 (#13) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 820 (#14) | HCA +45 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 912 (#13) | HCA +76 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.7 (#15) | HCA +2.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.6 (#14) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.219 (#15) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.235 (#15) | AdjNet -10.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.237 (#15) | AdjNet -10.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.316 (#15) | AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 86.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.320 (#14) | AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 87.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.284 (#13) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.284 (#13) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 847 (#13) | RD 178 | GP 44 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.283 (#13) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brittney Griner
|
C | 18 | 25.3 | 13.2 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 10.2 | 11.8 | - | - | - | - | 52.7 | 25.0 | 67.2 | - | 56.1 | 53.0 |
Aneesah Morrow
|
F | 20 | 23.2 | 11.6 | 8.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 10.8 | 11.0 | -149 | 27 | -5.5 | -9.9 | 42.1 | 28.4 | 62.5 | -1.29 | 48.7 | 46.5 |
Leila Lacan
|
G | 30 | 28.0 | 11.4 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 10.3 | 7.0 | -145 | 30 | -4.8 | -6.9 | 42.2 | 32.4 | 73.1 | -0.57 | 50.7 | 47.6 |
Aaliyah Edwards
|
F | 30 | 20.7 | 11.1 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 7.8 | -211 | 30 | -7.0 | -13.6 | 51.8 | 38.9 | 72.8 | -2.11 | 57.3 | 53.2 |
Olivia Nelson-Ododa
|
C | 33 | 21.2 | 10.1 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 6.6 | 11.0 | -98 | 33 | -3.0 | -5.6 | 57.6 | 0.0 | 68.3 | 0.17 | 61.6 | 57.6 |
Diamond Miller
|
F | 43 | 22.7 | 9.8 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 8.8 | 4.6 | -234 | 43 | -5.4 | -9.6 | 36.5 | 32.5 | 77.1 | -1.59 | 48.8 | 43.5 |
Kennedy Burke
|
F | 37 | 23.9 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 6.5 | -108 | 37 | -2.9 | -4.9 | 40.1 | 32.4 | 71.2 | -0.13 | 51.7 | 48.0 |
Charlisse Leger-Walker
|
- | 44 | 23.6 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 5.8 | -251 | 44 | -5.7 | -9.6 | 37.9 | 33.3 | 78.7 | -1.75 | 48.8 | 45.1 |
Saniya Rivers
|
G | 38 | 22.6 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7.9 | 5.0 | -285 | 38 | -7.5 | -13.3 | 34.3 | 17.1 | 60.0 | -2.61 | 39.6 | 36.5 |
Hailey Van Lith
|
G | 22 | 15.8 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 3.8 | -106 | 22 | -4.8 | -12.2 | 42.5 | 32.4 | 85.7 | -1.37 | 50.4 | 47.8 |
Raegan Beers
|
- | 38 | 12.6 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 3.3 | 5.1 | -80 | 38 | -2.1 | -6.7 | 49.2 | 28.6 | 71.2 | -0.26 | 55.8 | 50.0 |
Nell Angloma
|
F | 40 | 12.6 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 3.3 | -76 | 40 | -1.9 | -6.0 | 39.7 | 16.7 | 64.7 | -0.23 | 46.8 | 41.7 |
Gianna Kneepkens
|
- | 36 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 2.2 | -100 | 36 | -2.8 | -10.9 | 37.9 | 22.0 | 96.2 | -1.23 | 49.4 | 43.5 |
Ashlon Jackson
|
- | 19 | 13.6 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 2.2 | -112 | 19 | -5.9 | -17.2 | 36.4 | 30.6 | 25.0 | -2.03 | 47.2 | 47.7 |
Rayah Marshall
|
C | 6 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.2 | -16 | 6 | -2.7 | -18.2 | 33.3 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.75 | 43.0 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026 Shot Zones
3008 located field-goal attempts in 44 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Diamond MillerLeila LacanCharlisse Leger-WalkerKennedy BurkeAaliyah EdwardsOlivia Nelson-OdodaSaniya RiversGianna Kneepkens
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 557-887 | 62.8 | 1114 | Olivia Nelson-Ododa 14% (152 pts) | Aaliyah Edwards 13% (144 pts) | Diamond Miller 14% (47 misses) | Aneesah Morrow 12% (38 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 282-742 | 38.0 | 564 | Olivia Nelson-Ododa 13% (76 pts) | Brittney Griner 12% (66 pts) | Diamond Miller 13% (60 misses) | Charlisse Leger-Walker 12% (53 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 72-199 | 36.2 | 144 | Leila Lacan 22% (32 pts) | Saniya Rivers 19% (28 pts) | Saniya Rivers 25% (32 misses) | Leila Lacan 20% (25 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 38-100 | 38.0 | 76 | Aaliyah Edwards 26% (20 pts) | Leila Lacan 18% (14 pts) | Aaliyah Edwards 23% (14 misses) | Leila Lacan 19% (12 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 71-200 | 35.5 | 142 | Saniya Rivers 18% (26 pts) | Aaliyah Edwards 15% (22 pts) | Saniya Rivers 26% (34 misses) | Leila Lacan 15% (19 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 16-50 | 32.0 | 48 | Diamond Miller 44% (21 pts) | Leila Lacan 19% (9 pts) | Diamond Miller 32% (11 misses) | Kennedy Burke 15% (5 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 9-26 | 34.6 | 27 | Gianna Kneepkens 22% (6 pts) | Saniya Rivers 22% (6 pts) | Diamond Miller 35% (6 misses) | Charlisse Leger-Walker 24% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 85-313 | 27.2 | 255 | Diamond Miller 24% (60 pts) | Kennedy Burke 18% (45 pts) | Kennedy Burke 16% (36 misses) | Diamond Miller 15% (35 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 37-139 | 26.6 | 111 | Diamond Miller 19% (21 pts) | Kennedy Burke 16% (18 pts) | Diamond Miller 20% (20 misses) | Leila Lacan 19% (19 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 114-352 | 32.4 | 342 | Charlisse Leger-Walker 23% (78 pts) | Kennedy Burke 18% (63 pts) | Diamond Miller 16% (38 misses) | Charlisse Leger-Walker 16% (37 misses) |