Indiana Fever
2026 Team Stats (47 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1054 (#6) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1096 (#5) | HCA +45 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1039 (#6) | HCA +76 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +5.1 (#5) | HCA +2.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +3.9 (#5) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.644 (#5) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.645 (#5) | AdjNet +5.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.646 (#5) | AdjNet +5.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.611 (#5) | AdjO 94.8 | AdjD 89.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.573 (#5) | AdjO 91.7 | AdjD 88.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.607 (#6) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.600 (#6) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1086 (#6) | RD 150 | GP 47 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.617 (#5) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kelsey Mitchell
|
G | 47 | 32.6 | 24.4 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 17.1 | 11.2 | 226 | 47 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 49.7 | 44.2 | 84.8 | 1.34 | 63.0 | 58.5 |
Caitlin Clark
|
G | 43 | 31.4 | 22.1 | 4.0 | 8.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.7 | 16.0 | 15.4 | 142 | 43 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 44.2 | 35.8 | 85.3 | 0.19 | 59.5 | 53.3 |
Aliyah Boston
|
F | 43 | 27.2 | 16.4 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 11.9 | 15.9 | 235 | 43 | 5.5 | 8.0 | 53.2 | 41.0 | 78.3 | 2.34 | 61.3 | 57.9 |
Sophie Cunningham
|
G | 46 | 22.5 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 38 | 46 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 45.8 | 42.0 | 86.2 | -1.32 | 65.4 | 60.6 |
Monique Billings
|
F | 46 | 18.2 | 6.2 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 8.1 | 8 | 46 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 52.1 | 27.8 | 75.7 | -0.88 | 59.9 | 53.4 |
Makayla Timpson
|
F | 46 | 18.9 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 7.8 | 130 | 46 | 2.8 | 6.0 | 62.5 | 0 | 68.2 | 0.49 | 64.7 | 62.5 |
Lexie Hull
|
G | 47 | 18.6 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 170 | 47 | 3.6 | 7.8 | 42.6 | 33.7 | 81.6 | 1.08 | 54.4 | 51.2 |
Tyasha Harris
|
G | 39 | 13.6 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 102 | 39 | 2.6 | 7.7 | 42.2 | 35.2 | 86.2 | 0.58 | 56.1 | 52.0 |
Myisha Hines-Allen
|
F | 40 | 13.9 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 5.4 | 55 | 40 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 49.6 | 29.6 | 62.9 | 0.0 | 54.7 | 52.7 |
Raven Johnson
|
- | 42 | 11.7 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 43.0 | 23.1 | 71.4 | - | 48.6 | 47.2 |
Damiris Dantas
|
F | 12 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 2.1 | -15 | 12 | -1.2 | -6.1 | 40.6 | 35.0 | 77.8 | -0.76 | 55.6 | 51.6 |
Bree Hall
|
- | 5 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 7 | 5 | 1.4 | 10.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 20.0 | -0.33 | 56.3 | 62.5 |
Ugonne Onyiah
|
- | 2 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 18 | 2 | 9.0 | 55.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 40.0 | -0.06 | 38.5 | 33.3 |
Mercedes Russell
|
C | 8 | 9.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 16 | 8 | 2.0 | 8.9 | 25.0 | 0 | 70.0 | -0.43 | 44.4 | 25.0 |
Grace VanSlooten
|
- | 16 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.1 | -26 | 20 | -1.3 | -10.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 77.8 | -1.16 | 95.4 | 100.0 |
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough
|
G | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -1.0 | -12 | 18 | -0.7 | -9.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.76 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026 Shot Zones
3256 located field-goal attempts in 47 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Kelsey MitchellCaitlin ClarkAliyah BostonSophie CunninghamLexie Hull
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 639-978 | 65.3 | 1278 | Kelsey Mitchell 23% (298 pts) | Aliyah Boston 19% (238 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 26% (88 misses) | Caitlin Clark 15% (51 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 311-664 | 46.8 | 622 | Aliyah Boston 30% (184 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 19% (116 pts) | Aliyah Boston 30% (105 misses) | Kelsey Mitchell 17% (61 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 57-142 | 40.1 | 114 | Kelsey Mitchell 33% (38 pts) | Caitlin Clark 28% (32 pts) | Caitlin Clark 32% (27 misses) | Kelsey Mitchell 32% (27 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 37-90 | 41.1 | 74 | Kelsey Mitchell 41% (30 pts) | Caitlin Clark 32% (24 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 53% (28 misses) | Caitlin Clark 21% (11 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 56-131 | 42.7 | 112 | Kelsey Mitchell 29% (32 pts) | Caitlin Clark 27% (30 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 27% (20 misses) | Caitlin Clark 24% (18 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 28-75 | 37.3 | 84 | Sophie Cunningham 21% (18 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 18% (15 pts) | Lexie Hull 19% (9 misses) | Sophie Cunningham 17% (8 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 18-58 | 31.0 | 54 | Lexie Hull 33% (18 pts) | Sophie Cunningham 22% (12 pts) | Sophie Cunningham 30% (12 misses) | Lexie Hull 25% (10 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 193-491 | 39.3 | 579 | Caitlin Clark 34% (198 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 27% (156 pts) | Caitlin Clark 37% (110 misses) | Kelsey Mitchell 21% (62 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 78-237 | 32.9 | 234 | Caitlin Clark 35% (81 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 35% (81 pts) | Caitlin Clark 34% (54 misses) | Kelsey Mitchell 29% (46 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 164-390 | 42.1 | 492 | Kelsey Mitchell 35% (171 pts) | Caitlin Clark 18% (90 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 28% (63 misses) | Caitlin Clark 26% (59 misses) |