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Indiana Fever

Also known as: Indiana Fever
Program History

2026 Team Stats (47 games)

95.5
PPG
90.7
Opp
+4.8
Margin
48.5%
FG%
38.4%
3P%
80.4%
FT%
33.3
RPG
20.6
APG
13.3
TO
84.5
Est. poss./game
94.8
Adj PPG
89.8
Adj Opp PPG
#5
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1054 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +45 elo More โ†’ 1096 (#5) HCA +45 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +76 elo More โ†’ 1039 (#6) HCA +76 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ +5.1 (#5) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More โ†’ +3.9 (#5) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.644 (#5) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.2 More โ†’ 0.645 (#5) AdjNet +5.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.2 More โ†’ 0.646 (#5) AdjNet +5.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 94.8 | AdjD 89.8 More โ†’ 0.611 (#5) AdjO 94.8 | AdjD 89.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 91.7 | AdjD 88.4 More โ†’ 0.573 (#5) AdjO 91.7 | AdjD 88.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.607 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.600 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 47 More โ†’ 1086 (#6) RD 150 | GP 47
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.617 (#5) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-05-09 vs Dallas Wings L 104 - 107
2026-05-13 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 87 - 78
2026-05-15 vs Washington Mystics L 102 - 104
2026-05-17 vs Seattle Storm W 89 - 78
2026-05-20 vs Portland Fire W 90 - 73
2026-05-22 vs Golden State Valkyries W 90 - 82
2026-05-28 @ Golden State Valkyries L 88 - 90
2026-05-30 @ Portland Fire L 84 - 100
2026-06-04 vs Atlanta Dream W 83 - 71
2026-06-06 @ New York Liberty L 75 - 83
2026-06-08 @ Washington Mystics W 78 - 76
2026-06-11 vs Chicago Sky W 114 - 106
2026-06-13 @ Connecticut Sun W 85 - 75
2026-06-16 vs Toronto Tempo W 113 - 91
2026-06-18 vs Atlanta Dream L 101 - 108
2026-06-20 @ Atlanta Dream L 96 - 113
2026-06-22 vs Phoenix Mercury W 86 - 77
2026-06-24 vs Phoenix Mercury L 109 - 111
2026-06-27 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 111 - 87
2026-07-05 @ Las Vegas Aces W 84 - 68
2026-07-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 92 - 106
2026-07-09 @ Phoenix Mercury W 92 - 89
2026-07-12 @ Las Vegas Aces W 109 - 75
2026-07-15 vs Golden State Valkyries L 75 - 88
2026-07-17 vs Seattle Storm W 110 - 107
2026-07-18 vs New York Liberty W 108 - 88
2026-07-22 vs Connecticut Sun W 123 - 88
2026-07-28 @ Seattle Storm W 105 - 95
2026-07-31 @ Portland Fire W 112 - 98
2026-08-02 @ Minnesota Lynx L 100 - 108
2026-08-06 vs Las Vegas Aces L 84 - 86
2026-08-08 @ Chicago Sky W 90 - 86
2026-08-11 vs New York Liberty W 106 - 92
2026-08-14 vs Dallas Wings W 98 - 87
2026-08-16 @ Atlanta Dream W 95 - 91
2026-08-18 @ Toronto Tempo W 101 - 95
2026-08-20 @ Dallas Wings L 85 - 91
2026-08-22 @ New York Liberty L 102 - 109
2026-08-23 @ Chicago Sky W 113 - 90
2026-08-28 vs Connecticut Sun W 111 - 91
2026-09-18 @ Toronto Tempo W 103 - 85
2026-09-20 vs Washington Mystics L 77 - 93
2026-09-22 vs Minnesota Lynx W 96 - 77
2026-09-24 @ Minnesota Lynx L 66 - 86
2026-09-27 @ Las Vegas Aces L 85 - 102
2026-09-29 vs Las Vegas Aces W 99 - 89
2026-10-01 @ Las Vegas Aces L 83 - 94

2026 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell Kelsey Mitchell G 47 32.6 24.4 1.7 2.7 1.0 0.1 1.6 17.1 11.2 226 47 4.8 5.9 49.7 44.2 84.8 1.34 63.0 58.5
Caitlin Clark Caitlin Clark G 43 31.4 22.1 4.0 8.4 1.0 0.5 4.7 16.0 15.4 142 43 3.3 4.2 44.2 35.8 85.3 0.19 59.5 53.3
Aliyah Boston Aliyah Boston F 43 27.2 16.4 7.9 3.0 1.5 1.2 2.2 11.9 15.9 235 43 5.5 8.0 53.2 41.0 78.3 2.34 61.3 57.9
Sophie Cunningham Sophie Cunningham G 46 22.5 7.8 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.7 5.2 5.9 38 46 0.8 1.5 45.8 42.0 86.2 -1.32 65.4 60.6
Monique Billings Monique Billings F 46 18.2 6.2 4.6 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.8 4.1 8.1 8 46 0.2 0.4 52.1 27.8 75.7 -0.88 59.9 53.4
Makayla Timpson Makayla Timpson F 46 18.9 5.5 4.8 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 3.7 7.8 130 46 2.8 6.0 62.5 0 68.2 0.49 64.7 62.5
Lexie Hull Lexie Hull G 47 18.6 5.1 3.0 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.7 4.3 4.5 170 47 3.6 7.8 42.6 33.7 81.6 1.08 54.4 51.2
Tyasha Harris Tyasha Harris G 39 13.6 4.1 1.1 2.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 3.3 3.8 102 39 2.6 7.7 42.2 35.2 86.2 0.58 56.1 52.0
Myisha Hines-Allen Myisha Hines-Allen F 40 13.9 4.0 3.5 1.4 0.5 0.3 1.2 3.2 5.4 55 40 1.4 3.9 49.6 29.6 62.9 0.0 54.7 52.7
Raven Johnson Raven Johnson - 42 11.7 3.4 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.7 3.4 2.8 - - - - 43.0 23.1 71.4 - 48.6 47.2
Damiris Dantas Damiris Dantas F 12 8.2 3.3 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.7 2.1 -15 12 -1.2 -6.1 40.6 35.0 77.8 -0.76 55.6 51.6
Bree Hall Bree Hall - 5 5.4 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 2.2 7 5 1.4 10.4 50.0 50.0 20.0 -0.33 56.3 62.5
Ugonne Onyiah Ugonne Onyiah - 2 6.5 2.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 18 2 9.0 55.5 33.3 0 40.0 -0.06 38.5 33.3
Mercedes Russell Mercedes Russell C 8 9.0 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 16 8 2.0 8.9 25.0 0 70.0 -0.43 44.4 25.0
Grace VanSlooten Grace VanSlooten - 16 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 -26 20 -1.3 -10.9 100.0 0 77.8 -1.16 95.4 100.0
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough Shatori Walker-Kimbrough G 2 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -1.0 -12 18 -0.7 -9.9 0.0 0 0 -0.76 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026 Shot Zones

3256 located field-goal attempts in 47 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Mitchell23% Boston30% Mitchell33% Mitchell41% Mitchell29% Cunningham21% Hull33% Clark34% Clark35% Mitchell35%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Mitchell26% Boston30% Clark32% Mitchell53% Mitchell27% Hull19% Cunningham30% Clark37% Clark34% Mitchell28%
Misses: who misses most here

Kelsey MitchellCaitlin ClarkAliyah BostonSophie CunninghamLexie Hull

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 639-978 65.3 1278 Kelsey Mitchell 23% (298 pts) Aliyah Boston 19% (238 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 26% (88 misses) Caitlin Clark 15% (51 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 311-664 46.8 622 Aliyah Boston 30% (184 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 19% (116 pts) Aliyah Boston 30% (105 misses) Kelsey Mitchell 17% (61 misses)
Mid-range left 57-142 40.1 114 Kelsey Mitchell 33% (38 pts) Caitlin Clark 28% (32 pts) Caitlin Clark 32% (27 misses) Kelsey Mitchell 32% (27 misses)
Mid-range center 37-90 41.1 74 Kelsey Mitchell 41% (30 pts) Caitlin Clark 32% (24 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 53% (28 misses) Caitlin Clark 21% (11 misses)
Mid-range right 56-131 42.7 112 Kelsey Mitchell 29% (32 pts) Caitlin Clark 27% (30 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 27% (20 misses) Caitlin Clark 24% (18 misses)
Left corner 3 28-75 37.3 84 Sophie Cunningham 21% (18 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 18% (15 pts) Lexie Hull 19% (9 misses) Sophie Cunningham 17% (8 misses)
Right corner 3 18-58 31.0 54 Lexie Hull 33% (18 pts) Sophie Cunningham 22% (12 pts) Sophie Cunningham 30% (12 misses) Lexie Hull 25% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 left 193-491 39.3 579 Caitlin Clark 34% (198 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 27% (156 pts) Caitlin Clark 37% (110 misses) Kelsey Mitchell 21% (62 misses)
Above-break 3 center 78-237 32.9 234 Caitlin Clark 35% (81 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 35% (81 pts) Caitlin Clark 34% (54 misses) Kelsey Mitchell 29% (46 misses)
Above-break 3 right 164-390 42.1 492 Kelsey Mitchell 35% (171 pts) Caitlin Clark 18% (90 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 28% (63 misses) Caitlin Clark 26% (59 misses)