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Phoenix Mercury

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Phoenix Mercury
Program History

2026 Team Stats (44 games)

84.4
PPG
87.6
Opp
-3.2
Margin
44.5%
FG%
32.7%
3P%
79.0%
FT%
31.6
RPG
20.3
APG
13.0
TO
81.7
Est. poss./game
83.4
Adj PPG
86.3
Adj Opp PPG
#9
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 925 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +45 elo More → 906 (#11) HCA +45 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +76 elo More → 958 (#9) HCA +76 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More → -3.0 (#9) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → -2.8 (#10) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.394 (#9) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.3 More → 0.407 (#9) AdjNet -3.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.3 More → 0.406 (#9) AdjNet -3.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 86.3 More → 0.434 (#9) AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 86.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 86.4 More → 0.446 (#10) AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 86.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.412 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.415 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 177 | GP 44 More → 938 (#9) RD 177 | GP 44
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.408 (#9) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-05-09 @ Las Vegas Aces W 99 - 66
2026-05-10 @ Golden State Valkyries L 79 - 95
2026-05-12 vs Minnesota Lynx L 84 - 88
2026-05-15 vs Chicago Sky W 91 - 83
2026-05-19 vs Toronto Tempo L 90 - 98
2026-05-21 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 88 - 97
2026-05-24 @ Atlanta Dream L 80 - 82
2026-05-27 @ New York Liberty L 74 - 84
2026-05-29 @ New York Liberty L 68 - 75
2026-06-01 vs Minnesota Lynx L 77 - 111
2026-06-03 @ Seattle Storm W 72 - 68
2026-06-05 @ Portland Fire W 78 - 72
2026-06-09 @ Golden State Valkyries L 81 - 87
2026-06-11 @ Dallas Wings L 70 - 85
2026-06-13 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 102 - 111
2026-06-17 vs Las Vegas Aces L 76 - 86
2026-06-20 vs Seattle Storm W 93 - 73
2026-06-22 @ Indiana Fever L 77 - 86
2026-06-24 @ Indiana Fever W 111 - 109
2026-06-27 @ Toronto Tempo W 89 - 80
2026-07-02 vs Seattle Storm W 90 - 67
2026-07-07 vs Chicago Sky L 66 - 77
2026-07-09 vs Indiana Fever L 89 - 92
2026-07-11 @ Las Vegas Aces L 58 - 106
2026-07-13 @ Minnesota Lynx L 100 - 104
2026-07-17 vs Connecticut Sun L 83 - 96
2026-07-19 vs Connecticut Sun W 72 - 63
2026-07-22 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 86 - 82
2026-07-29 vs Golden State Valkyries W 91 - 89
2026-08-01 vs New York Liberty L 92 - 94
2026-08-03 @ Chicago Sky W 106 - 101
2026-08-05 @ Atlanta Dream L 82 - 96
2026-08-07 @ Connecticut Sun L 72 - 75
2026-08-09 @ Washington Mystics L 75 - 95
2026-08-11 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 94 - 87
2026-08-16 vs Portland Fire L 85 - 88
2026-08-22 vs Atlanta Dream L 89 - 99
2026-08-25 vs Washington Mystics L 84 - 94
2026-08-27 vs Washington Mystics L 73 - 80
2026-08-29 vs Toronto Tempo W 101 - 69
2026-09-17 @ Portland Fire W 94 - 91
2026-09-19 @ Dallas Wings L 82 - 87
2026-09-21 vs Dallas Wings W 87 - 86
2026-09-24 vs Las Vegas Aces L 82 - 100

2026 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kahleah Copper Kahleah Copper G 40 33.0 21.5 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.1 2.4 16.1 9.5 -114 40 -2.9 -3.5 44.9 29.8 78.9 -0.36 56.4 50.2
Kelsey Plum Kelsey Plum G 5 21.2 15.8 1.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 2.2 11.0 7.8 -31 17 -1.8 -2.4 49.1 36.0 84.2 -0.28 62.3 57.3
Alyssa Thomas Alyssa Thomas F 42 33.2 14.3 7.8 8.5 1.3 0.5 3.5 10.5 18.4 - - - - 52.1 33.3 68.7 - 56.5 52.3
DeWanna Bonner DeWanna Bonner F 37 27.6 10.6 6.1 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.8 8.9 10.5 -15 54 -0.3 -0.4 39.4 26.2 84.8 0.1 52.2 46.1
Jovana Nogic Jovana Nogic - 16 20.1 10.4 1.1 1.6 0.6 0.0 1.4 7.4 4.8 8 16 0.5 1.0 42.0 42.1 89.5 -0.29 61.2 55.5
Monique Akoa Makani Monique Akoa Makani G 19 23.4 9.4 2.1 2.5 1.2 0.2 2.0 6.9 6.4 -88 30 -2.9 -5.4 43.9 43.6 86.4 -1.02 58.8 53.0
Natasha Mack Natasha Mack F 36 22.7 8.9 6.7 1.1 0.9 1.3 0.9 6.2 11.8 -38 36 -1.1 -1.9 60.3 22.2 81.4 -0.43 64.0 60.7
Shay Ciezki Shay Ciezki - 8 15.6 8.5 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.8 5.5 6.0 -7 8 -0.9 -2.2 47.7 38.9 90.5 -0.54 63.9 55.7
Kara Dunn Kara Dunn - 4 15.0 6.5 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 4.8 3.8 -3 4 -0.8 -2.0 42.1 57.1 100.0 -0.57 65.4 63.2
Lexi Held Lexi Held G 34 17.2 6.4 1.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 1.0 5.6 3.3 -39 42 -0.9 -2.4 39.2 36.5 86.8 -0.64 52.5 48.4
Valeriane Ayayi Valeriane Ayayi F 35 16.2 6.3 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 1.3 4.0 5.7 - - - - 36.4 27.5 81.8 - 56.9 43.2
Noemie Brochant Noemie Brochant F 43 23.6 6.3 2.1 1.9 1.0 0.2 1.0 5.6 4.9 -14 43 -0.3 -0.6 45.0 37.0 68.4 0.17 55.0 54.2
Sami Whitcomb Sami Whitcomb G 21 17.5 5.3 1.7 2.1 0.6 0.1 1.1 5.4 3.4 -23 21 -1.1 -2.5 31.0 31.0 100.0 -0.94 46.8 42.9
Kiana Williams Kiana Williams G 8 13.1 4.8 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.8 4.1 1.4 - - - - 36.4 36.0 100.0 - 54.0 50.0
Marta Suarez Marta Suarez - 19 9.4 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.8 2.1 -46 19 -2.4 -10.4 45.3 35.0 68.8 -1.26 55.0 51.9
Maddy Westbeld Maddy Westbeld F 7 13.3 3.3 2.0 0.6 0.7 0.3 1.0 3.6 2.3 -28 10 -2.8 -9.3 28.0 33.3 100.0 -0.86 41.6 34.0
Kyara Linskens Kyara Linskens C 19 10.6 3.0 2.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 3.1 3.6 -55 19 -2.9 -10.9 32.8 26.9 70.6 -1.5 43.5 38.8
Saylor Poffenbarger Saylor Poffenbarger - 2 11.0 1.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.0 -10 7 -1.4 -8.3 20.0 20.0 0 -0.7 30.0 30.0
S. Carter S. Carter - 13 6.2 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.2 - - - - 16.7 0.0 56.2 - 30.0 16.7
Anneli Maley Anneli Maley - 2 3.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 16 12 1.3 7.5 0.0 0 50.0 -0.31 17.4 0.0
Peyton Williams Peyton Williams - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1 1 -1.0 -6.9 0.0 0 0 -0.41 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026 Shot Zones

2877 located field-goal attempts in 44 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Copper27% Thomas30% Brochant20% Copper26% Mack17% Copper31% Bonner25% Copper18% Copper19% Copper19%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Copper23% Thomas31% Copper20% Copper38% Copper20% Bonner25% Bonner25% Copper26% Copper26% Copper20%
Misses: who misses most here

Kahleah CopperAlyssa ThomasDeWanna BonnerNatasha MackNoemie Brochant

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 455-668 68.1 910 Kahleah Copper 27% (248 pts) Alyssa Thomas 24% (214 pts) Kahleah Copper 23% (50 misses) Alyssa Thomas 21% (44 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 349-793 44.0 698 Alyssa Thomas 30% (208 pts) Kahleah Copper 21% (146 pts) Alyssa Thomas 31% (137 misses) Kahleah Copper 20% (87 misses)
Mid-range left 44-135 32.6 88 Noemie Brochant 20% (18 pts) Kahleah Copper 16% (14 pts) Kahleah Copper 20% (18 misses) Alyssa Thomas 18% (16 misses)
Mid-range center 35-101 34.7 70 Kahleah Copper 26% (18 pts) Alyssa Thomas 17% (12 pts) Kahleah Copper 38% (25 misses) Alyssa Thomas 17% (11 misses)
Mid-range right 53-128 41.4 106 Natasha Mack 17% (18 pts) Alyssa Thomas 15% (16 pts) Kahleah Copper 20% (15 misses) Noemie Brochant 17% (13 misses)
Left corner 3 45-108 41.7 135 Kahleah Copper 31% (42 pts) Noemie Brochant 22% (30 pts) DeWanna Bonner 25% (16 misses) Noemie Brochant 19% (12 misses)
Right corner 3 16-48 33.3 48 DeWanna Bonner 25% (12 pts) Noemie Brochant 19% (9 pts) DeWanna Bonner 25% (8 misses) Kahleah Copper 16% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 left 127-403 31.5 381 Kahleah Copper 18% (69 pts) DeWanna Bonner 16% (60 pts) Kahleah Copper 26% (71 misses) DeWanna Bonner 21% (57 misses)
Above-break 3 center 48-157 30.6 144 Kahleah Copper 19% (27 pts) Jovana Nogic 12% (18 pts) Kahleah Copper 26% (28 misses) DeWanna Bonner 11% (12 misses)
Above-break 3 right 111-336 33.0 333 Kahleah Copper 19% (63 pts) Lexi Held 11% (36 pts) Kahleah Copper 20% (44 misses) DeWanna Bonner 14% (31 misses)