🐻⬇️🏀

Las Vegas Aces

Also known as: Las Vegas Aces
Program History

2026 Team Stats (2 games)

89.0
PPG
87.0
Opp
+4.6
Margin
45.8%
FG%
24.5%
3P%
70.3%
FT%
34.5
RPG
15.5
APG
14.0
TO
93.6
Pace

Model Outputs

2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1065 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1100 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +51 elo More → 1077 (#4) HCA +51 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.6 More → +3.7 (#5) HCA +1.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.8 More → +6.4 (#4) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.632 (#6) -
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 92.1 | AdjD 87.6 More → 0.601 (#4) AdjO 92.1 | AdjD 87.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.628 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.627 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 86 | GP 28 More → 1112 (#4) RD 86 | GP 28

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-04-26 vs Japan W 94 - 78
2026-05-03 @ Dallas Wings L 84 - 101
2026-05-09 vs Phoenix Mercury L 66 - 99
2026-05-10 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 105 - 78
2026-05-13 @ Connecticut Sun W 98 - 69
2026-05-15 @ Connecticut Sun W 101 - 94
2026-05-17 @ Atlanta Dream W 85 - 84
2026-05-23 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 95 - 101
2026-05-28 @ Dallas Wings L 87 - 95
2026-05-31 @ Golden State Valkyries W 91 - 81
2026-06-02 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79 - 69
2026-06-06 vs Golden State Valkyries W 84 - 79
2026-06-08 vs Seattle Storm W 101 - 91
2026-06-11 @ Portland Fire W 105 - 89
2026-06-13 vs Minnesota Lynx W 100 - 97
2026-06-15 @ Dallas Wings L 66 - 96
2026-06-17 @ Phoenix Mercury W 86 - 76
2026-06-21 vs Golden State Valkyries W 92 - 73
2026-06-23 vs New York Liberty L 76 - 87
2026-06-25 vs Dallas Wings W 99 - 84
2026-06-28 @ Chicago Sky W 107 - 99
2026-06-30 @ New York Liberty L 85 - 93
2026-07-03 vs Chicago Sky W 98 - 90
2026-07-05 vs Indiana Fever L 68 - 84
2026-07-09 @ Portland Fire W 88 - 80
2026-07-11 vs Phoenix Mercury W 106 - 58
2026-07-12 vs Indiana Fever L 75 - 109
2026-07-20 @ Toronto Tempo W 109 - 83
2026-07-22 @ Washington Mystics L 99 - 100
2026-07-28 vs Portland Fire W 98 - 83
2026-07-30 vs New York Liberty W 104 - 99
2026-08-01 @ Chicago Sky L 83 - 84
2026-08-03 @ Atlanta Dream W 109 - 87

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Wilson A. Wilson C 1 23.0 18.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 13.0 - - - 55.6 0.0 61.5 - 61.1 55.6
J. Young J. Young G 2 25.5 16.5 1.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 15.5 6.5 - - - 45.2 9.1 80.0 - 49.7 46.8
Chelsea Gray Chelsea Gray G 2 24.5 13.0 3.5 4.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 8.5 13.0 - - - 47.1 33.3 100.0 - 64.7 55.9
C. Carter C. Carter G 2 18.0 11.5 2.5 2.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 8.5 8.5 - - - 41.2 14.3 72.7 - 52.7 44.1
Jewell Loyd Jewell Loyd G 2 27.0 11.0 3.5 0.5 2.5 0.0 1.0 8.0 8.5 - - - 43.8 30.0 83.3 - 59.0 53.1
NaLyssa Smith NaLyssa Smith F 2 21.5 10.0 8.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 1.0 5.5 14.0 - - - 63.6 0.0 50.0 - 61.4 63.6
K. Bell K. Bell F 2 22.0 9.5 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 6.5 6.0 - - - 53.8 40.0 100.0 - 70.7 69.2
Stephanie Talbot Stephanie Talbot F 2 20.5 5.0 3.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.5 - - - 30.0 25.0 100.0 - 44.2 35.0
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus Cheyenne Parker-Tyus F 2 8.0 2.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.5 1.5 - - - 33.3 0 50.0 - 42.0 33.3
B. Turner B. Turner F 2 15.5 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 5.5 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
J. Barker J. Barker - 1 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
J. Obi J. Obi - 2 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG