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Las Vegas Aces

Also known as: Las Vegas Aces
Program History

2026 Team Stats (51 games)

90.5
PPG
85.8
Opp
+4.6
Margin
48.0%
FG%
36.1%
3P%
81.7%
FT%
33.0
RPG
21.4
APG
11.9
TO
81.5
Est. poss./game
89.8
Adj PPG
84.9
Adj Opp PPG
#5
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1102 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1119 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +71 elo More โ†’ 1054 (#4) HCA +71 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ +5.0 (#5) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ +6.2 (#4) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.647 (#4) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.6 More โ†’ 0.647 (#4) NetEff +5.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.3 More โ†’ 0.649 (#4) AdjNet +5.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.3 More โ†’ 0.650 (#4) AdjNet +5.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 89.8 | AdjD 84.9 More โ†’ 0.609 (#5) AdjO 89.8 | AdjD 84.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 89.5 | AdjD 84.1 More โ†’ 0.620 (#4) AdjO 89.5 | AdjD 84.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.632 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.634 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 51 More โ†’ 1106 (#3) RD 117 | GP 51

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-05-09 vs Phoenix Mercury L 66 - 99
2026-05-10 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 105 - 78
2026-05-13 @ Connecticut Sun W 98 - 69
2026-05-15 @ Connecticut Sun W 101 - 94
2026-05-17 @ Atlanta Dream W 85 - 84
2026-05-23 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 95 - 101
2026-05-28 @ Dallas Wings L 87 - 95
2026-05-31 @ Golden State Valkyries W 91 - 81
2026-06-02 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79 - 69
2026-06-06 vs Golden State Valkyries W 84 - 79
2026-06-08 vs Seattle Storm W 101 - 91
2026-06-11 @ Portland Fire W 105 - 89
2026-06-13 vs Minnesota Lynx W 100 - 97
2026-06-15 @ Dallas Wings L 66 - 96
2026-06-17 @ Phoenix Mercury W 86 - 76
2026-06-21 vs Golden State Valkyries W 92 - 73
2026-06-23 vs New York Liberty L 76 - 87
2026-06-25 vs Dallas Wings W 99 - 84
2026-06-28 @ Chicago Sky W 107 - 99
2026-06-30 @ New York Liberty L 85 - 93
2026-07-03 vs Chicago Sky W 98 - 90
2026-07-05 vs Indiana Fever L 68 - 84
2026-07-09 @ Portland Fire W 88 - 80
2026-07-11 vs Phoenix Mercury W 106 - 58
2026-07-12 vs Indiana Fever L 75 - 109
2026-07-20 @ Toronto Tempo W 109 - 83
2026-07-22 @ Washington Mystics L 99 - 100
2026-07-28 vs Portland Fire W 98 - 83
2026-07-30 vs New York Liberty W 104 - 99
2026-08-01 @ Chicago Sky L 83 - 84
2026-08-03 @ Atlanta Dream W 109 - 87
2026-08-06 @ Indiana Fever W 86 - 84
2026-08-08 @ Minnesota Lynx L 87 - 98
2026-08-09 @ New York Liberty L 71 - 111
2026-08-11 vs Washington Mystics W 86 - 76
2026-08-13 vs Washington Mystics W 83 - 76
2026-08-15 vs Minnesota Lynx L 87 - 92
2026-08-18 vs Atlanta Dream L 82 - 97
2026-08-20 vs Connecticut Sun W 101 - 78
2026-08-23 @ Toronto Tempo W 88 - 78
2026-08-28 vs Toronto Tempo W 93 - 73
2026-09-17 @ Seattle Storm W 114 - 77
2026-09-20 vs Seattle Storm W 98 - 77
2026-09-22 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 89 - 79
2026-09-24 @ Phoenix Mercury W 100 - 82
2026-09-27 vs Indiana Fever W 102 - 85
2026-09-29 @ Indiana Fever L 89 - 99
2026-10-01 vs Indiana Fever W 94 - 83
2026-10-04 @ Golden State Valkyries L 60 - 71
2026-10-07 @ Golden State Valkyries L 81 - 83
2026-10-09 vs Golden State Valkyries L 77 - 87

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A'ja Wilson A'ja Wilson C 48 32.4 26.2 9.3 2.9 1.4 1.9 2.3 17.3 22.0 - - - - 52.7 39.8 85.0 - 62.5 55.2
Jackie Young Jackie Young G 52 32.7 19.1 4.1 6.6 1.0 0.2 2.4 14.2 14.4 - - - - 47.6 37.7 92.9 - 60.6 55.8
Chelsea Gray Chelsea Gray G 52 33.1 12.5 3.3 6.5 1.4 0.3 2.9 10.2 10.8 - - - - 43.9 36.5 93.0 - 56.3 52.3
Chennedy Carter Chennedy Carter G 16 17.5 12.5 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.4 1.2 8.2 7.8 - - - - 56.5 41.4 75.5 - 64.8 61.1
NaLyssa Smith NaLyssa Smith F 41 24.0 11.5 6.5 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.9 7.5 11.9 - - - - 63.4 11.1 56.8 - 63.7 63.6
Jewell Loyd Jewell Loyd G 50 26.2 7.9 2.4 1.3 1.2 0.1 0.9 7.1 4.9 - - - - 36.7 33.7 77.6 - 51.8 48.7
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus Cheyenne Parker-Tyus F 40 11.5 5.1 2.9 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.7 3.3 5.9 - - - - 50.8 47.8 74.4 - 61.0 54.9
K. Brown K. Brown C 8 7.9 4.6 2.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 3.4 4.4 - - - - 55.6 0 70.0 - 58.9 55.6
Ta'Niya Latson Ta'Niya Latson - 9 6.3 4.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.7 2.6 - - - - 54.2 50.0 80.0 - 67.0 60.4
Stephanie Talbot Stephanie Talbot F 51 17.9 4.2 2.7 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.7 3.5 4.8 - - - - 46.6 30.0 73.3 - 56.3 54.3
M. Yamamoto M. Yamamoto G 19 14.1 4.1 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.5 4.2 2.2 - - - - 32.9 30.2 100.0 - 46.4 43.0
Dana Evans Dana Evans G 16 16.2 4.0 1.4 2.1 0.3 0.1 1.1 4.6 2.2 - - - - 29.7 40.0 66.7 - 41.0 39.2
Justine Pissott Justine Pissott - 14 6.7 2.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 2.7 1.3 - - - - 34.2 35.7 100.0 - 48.9 47.4
Kierstan Bell Kierstan Bell F 35 10.1 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.5 2.5 1.9 - - - - 33.7 27.7 80.0 - 45.0 43.8
B. Turner B. Turner F 50 13.0 1.4 2.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.2 3.0 - - - - 55.9 0 100.0 - 56.8 55.9
Janiah Barker Janiah Barker - 1 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Jordan Obi Jordan Obi - 2 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026 Shot Zones

3582 located field-goal attempts in 53 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Wilson26% Wilson29% Wilson41% Wilson49% Wilson37% Loyd36% Loyd32% Young30% Young32% Young29%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Wilson24% Wilson29% Wilson39% Wilson40% Wilson34% Loyd44% Talbot42% Loyd24% Young33% Young29%
Misses: who misses most here

A'ja WilsonJackie YoungJewell LoydStephanie Talbot

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 453-644 70.3 906 A'ja Wilson 26% (240 pts) NaLyssa Smith 20% (178 pts) A'ja Wilson 24% (46 misses) NaLyssa Smith 14% (27 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 556-1056 52.7 1112 A'ja Wilson 29% (328 pts) Jackie Young 21% (234 pts) A'ja Wilson 29% (143 misses) Jackie Young 19% (95 misses)
Mid-range left 95-230 41.3 190 A'ja Wilson 41% (78 pts) Chelsea Gray 21% (40 pts) A'ja Wilson 39% (53 misses) Chelsea Gray 19% (26 misses)
Mid-range center 78-193 40.4 156 A'ja Wilson 49% (76 pts) Jackie Young 21% (32 pts) A'ja Wilson 40% (46 misses) Chelsea Gray 20% (23 misses)
Mid-range right 90-204 44.1 180 A'ja Wilson 37% (66 pts) Chelsea Gray 31% (56 pts) A'ja Wilson 34% (39 misses) Jackie Young 24% (27 misses)
Left corner 3 50-112 44.6 150 Jewell Loyd 36% (54 pts) Stephanie Talbot 16% (24 pts) Jewell Loyd 44% (27 misses) Stephanie Talbot 23% (14 misses)
Right corner 3 19-62 30.6 57 Jewell Loyd 32% (18 pts) Stephanie Talbot 21% (12 pts) Stephanie Talbot 42% (18 misses) Jewell Loyd 26% (11 misses)
Above-break 3 left 142-443 32.1 426 Jackie Young 30% (129 pts) Jewell Loyd 22% (93 pts) Jewell Loyd 24% (73 misses) Jackie Young 24% (72 misses)
Above-break 3 center 77-203 37.9 231 Jackie Young 32% (75 pts) Chelsea Gray 30% (69 pts) Jackie Young 33% (42 misses) Chelsea Gray 17% (22 misses)
Above-break 3 right 161-435 37.0 483 Jackie Young 29% (141 pts) Chelsea Gray 22% (105 pts) Jackie Young 29% (79 misses) Chelsea Gray 23% (63 misses)