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Las Vegas Aces

Also known as: Las Vegas Aces
Program History

2025 Team Stats (58 games)

85.2
PPG
81.1
Opp
+4.1
Margin
44.6%
FG%
35.7%
3P%
81.9%
FT%
33.0
RPG
19.9
APG
11.6
TO
88.0
Pace
87.9
AdjO
79.9
AdjD
#3
Rank

Model Outputs

2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1364 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1166 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +45 elo More → 1207 (#1) HCA +45 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +9.9 (#4) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +11.1 (#1) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.664 (#4) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.1 More → 0.664 (#4) NetEff +5.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.5 More → 0.812 (#3) AdjNet +10.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.6 More → 0.818 (#3) AdjNet +10.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.9 | AdjD 79.9 More → 0.676 (#3) AdjO 87.9 | AdjD 79.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 80.0 More → 0.666 (#1) AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 80.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.789 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.787 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 67 | GP 58 More → 1219 (#1) RD 67 | GP 58

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-05-02 vs Dallas Wings W 112 - 78
2025-05-06 vs Phoenix Mercury W 85 - 84
2025-05-17 @ New York Liberty L 78 - 92
2025-05-20 @ Connecticut Sun W 87 - 62
2025-05-23 vs Washington Mystics W 75 - 72
2025-05-25 @ Seattle Storm L 82 - 102
2025-05-30 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 96 - 81
2025-06-01 @ Seattle Storm W 75 - 70
2025-06-07 @ Golden State Valkyries L 68 - 95
2025-06-11 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 89 - 97
2025-06-13 vs Dallas Wings W 88 - 84
2025-06-15 vs Phoenix Mercury L 70 - 76
2025-06-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 62 - 76
2025-06-20 vs Seattle Storm L 83 - 90
2025-06-22 vs Indiana Fever W 89 - 81
2025-06-25 vs Connecticut Sun W 85 - 59
2025-06-26 vs Washington Mystics L 83 - 94
2025-06-29 @ Phoenix Mercury W 84 - 81
2025-07-03 @ Indiana Fever L 54 - 81
2025-07-06 @ Connecticut Sun W 86 - 68
2025-07-08 @ New York Liberty L 78 - 87
2025-07-10 @ Washington Mystics L 68 - 70
2025-07-12 vs Golden State Valkyries W 104 - 102
2025-07-16 @ Dallas Wings W 90 - 86
2025-07-22 vs Atlanta Dream W 87 - 72
2025-07-24 @ Indiana Fever L 70 - 80
2025-07-25 @ Minnesota Lynx L 78 - 109
2025-07-27 @ Dallas Wings W 106 - 80
2025-07-29 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 89 - 74
2025-08-02 vs Minnesota Lynx L 58 - 111
2025-08-03 vs Golden State Valkyries W 101 - 77
2025-08-06 @ Golden State Valkyries W 78 - 72
2025-08-08 vs Seattle Storm W 90 - 86
2025-08-10 vs Connecticut Sun W 94 - 86
2025-08-13 vs New York Liberty W 83 - 77
2025-08-15 @ Phoenix Mercury W 86 - 83
2025-08-17 vs Dallas Wings W 106 - 87
2025-08-19 vs Atlanta Dream W 74 - 72
2025-08-21 vs Phoenix Mercury W 83 - 61
2025-08-23 @ Washington Mystics W 91 - 81
2025-08-25 @ Chicago Sky W 79 - 74
2025-08-27 @ Atlanta Dream W 81 - 75
2025-09-04 vs Minnesota Lynx W 97 - 87
2025-09-07 vs Chicago Sky W 80 - 66
2025-09-09 vs Chicago Sky W 92 - 61
2025-09-11 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 103 - 75
2025-09-14 vs Seattle Storm W 102 - 77
2025-09-16 @ Seattle Storm L 83 - 86
2025-09-18 vs Seattle Storm W 74 - 73
2025-09-21 vs Indiana Fever L 73 - 89
2025-09-23 vs Indiana Fever W 90 - 68
2025-09-26 @ Indiana Fever W 84 - 72
2025-09-28 @ Indiana Fever L 83 - 90
2025-09-30 vs Indiana Fever W 107 - 98
2025-10-03 vs Phoenix Mercury W 89 - 86
2025-10-05 vs Phoenix Mercury W 91 - 78
2025-10-08 @ Phoenix Mercury W 90 - 88
2025-10-10 @ Phoenix Mercury W 97 - 86

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Wilson A. Wilson C 54 31.9 23.9 10.0 3.1 1.7 2.4 2.2 17.3 21.6 - - - 49.4 40.5 83.5 1.24 58.1 51.1
J. Young J. Young G 58 31.1 17.4 4.5 5.2 1.3 0.3 2.2 12.8 13.7 - - - 47.9 35.1 91.5 0.25 60.5 55.1
D. Kelly D. Kelly - 2 10.0 12.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 6.0 6.0 - - - 75.0 33.3 100.0 - 84.5 79.2
Chelsea Gray Chelsea Gray G 58 31.7 11.2 3.8 5.8 1.6 0.7 2.7 8.9 11.6 - - - 43.9 37.4 86.5 -0.08 56.7 51.9
Jewell Loyd Jewell Loyd G 58 28.2 10.8 3.3 1.6 1.1 0.3 1.2 9.2 6.8 - - - 39.5 39.0 83.3 -0.91 54.8 51.8
NaLyssa Smith NaLyssa Smith F 39 22.8 7.8 5.2 0.6 0.7 0.6 1.2 5.7 8.1 - - - 56.2 33.3 54.5 -0.72 58.2 57.6
Dana Evans Dana Evans G 56 18.2 7.0 1.1 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 6.3 3.7 - - - 40.7 40.5 79.7 -1.12 51.3 48.2
Tiffany Mitchell Tiffany Mitchell G 18 13.6 4.1 1.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.8 2.9 2.9 - - - 41.5 35.3 79.3 0.33 55.5 47.2
A. Nye A. Nye G 52 14.1 3.7 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.5 3.7 1.9 - - - 34.7 32.6 84.2 - 48.1 46.1
K. Bell K. Bell F 49 11.7 3.6 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 3.7 2.3 - - - 35.2 28.7 80.0 - 46.4 44.8
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus Cheyenne Parker-Tyus F 8 6.5 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.2 2.1 - - - 50.0 40.0 80.0 0.26 62.5 55.6
Megan Gustafson Megan Gustafson C 30 10.9 2.7 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 2.5 2.2 - - - 37.3 31.9 57.9 0.27 49.2 47.3
Crystal Bradford Crystal Bradford F 6 9.0 2.5 3.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.2 2.8 3.8 - - - 41.2 20.0 0.0 - 41.9 44.1
H. Turner H. Turner - 2 9.0 2.0 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.5 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Joyner Holmes Joyner Holmes F 6 5.0 1.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 -0.2 - - - 25.0 20.0 0 -0.07 29.2 29.2
E. Kitley E. Kitley C 14 8.1 1.1 1.3 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.7 0.9 - - - 29.2 0.0 50.0 - 30.1 29.2
Kiah Stokes Kiah Stokes C 51 11.0 1.0 2.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 1.1 3.6 - - - 37.0 16.0 63.6 -0.51 43.3 40.7
Queen Egbo Queen Egbo C 2 3.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG