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Las Vegas Aces

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Las Vegas Aces
Program History

2026 Team Stats (2 games)

89.0
PPG
86.3
Opp
+3.2
Margin
45.8%
FG%
24.5%
3P%
70.3%
FT%
34.5
RPG
15.5
APG
14.0
TO
93.6
Pace

Model Outputs

2025 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2026 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1364 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1166 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +45 elo More → 1207 (#1) HCA +45 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +9.9 (#4) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +11.1 (#1) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.664 (#4) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.1 More → 0.664 (#4) NetEff +5.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.5 More → 0.812 (#3) AdjNet +10.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.6 More → 0.818 (#3) AdjNet +10.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.9 | AdjD 79.9 More → 0.676 (#3) AdjO 87.9 | AdjD 79.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 80.0 More → 0.666 (#1) AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 80.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.789 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.787 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 67 | GP 58 More → 1219 (#1) RD 67 | GP 58

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-04-26 vs Japan W 94 - 78
2026-05-03 @ Dallas Wings L 84 - 101
2026-05-09 vs Phoenix Mercury L 66 - 99
2026-05-10 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 105 - 78
2026-05-13 @ Connecticut Sun W 98 - 69
2026-05-15 @ Connecticut Sun W 101 - 94
2026-05-17 @ Atlanta Dream W 85 - 84
2026-05-23 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 95 - 101
2026-05-28 @ Dallas Wings L 87 - 95
2026-05-31 @ Golden State Valkyries W 91 - 81
2026-06-02 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79 - 69
2026-06-06 vs Golden State Valkyries - Preview

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Wilson A. Wilson C 1 23.0 18.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 13.0 - - - 55.6 0.0 61.5 - 61.1 55.6
J. Young J. Young G 2 25.5 16.5 1.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 15.5 6.5 - - - 45.2 9.1 80.0 - 49.7 46.8
Chelsea Gray Chelsea Gray G 2 24.5 13.0 3.5 4.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 8.5 13.0 - - - 47.1 33.3 100.0 - 64.7 55.9
C. Carter C. Carter G 2 18.0 11.5 2.5 2.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 8.5 8.5 - - - 41.2 14.3 72.7 - 52.7 44.1
Jewell Loyd Jewell Loyd G 2 27.0 11.0 3.5 0.5 2.5 0.0 1.0 8.0 8.5 - - - 43.8 30.0 83.3 - 59.0 53.1
NaLyssa Smith NaLyssa Smith F 2 21.5 10.0 8.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 1.0 5.5 14.0 - - - 63.6 0.0 50.0 - 61.4 63.6
K. Bell K. Bell F 2 22.0 9.5 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 6.5 6.0 - - - 53.8 40.0 100.0 - 70.7 69.2
Stephanie Talbot Stephanie Talbot F 2 20.5 5.0 3.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.5 - - - 30.0 25.0 100.0 - 44.2 35.0
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus Cheyenne Parker-Tyus F 2 8.0 2.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.5 1.5 - - - 33.3 0 50.0 - 42.0 33.3
B. Turner B. Turner F 2 15.5 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 5.5 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
J. Barker J. Barker - 1 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
J. Obi J. Obi - 2 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG