Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.6% | 25.4% | -11.9 | ✓ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -29 (69-98). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +8.3 |
| Chelsea Gray * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | +22.3 |
| A'ja Wilson * | 20 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 20 | +28.1 |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +0.0 |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +3.2 |
| Jewell Loyd | 27 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | +15.9 |
| Chennedy Carter | 25 | 13-16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 21 | +10.6 |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +18.9 |
| Brianna Turner | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6.3 |
| Kierstan Bell | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Burke * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -1 | -13.5 |
| Saniya Rivers * | 29 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -13.5 |
| Diamond Miller * | 24 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | -21.0 |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -7.7 |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -12.3 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 23 | 4-16 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | -17.5 |
| Hailey Van Lith | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -10.0 |
| Gianna Kneepkens | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3.7 |
| Raegan Beers | 14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -2.5 |
* = starter