Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.2% | 24.8% | -6.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -18 (82-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray * | 35 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| A'ja Wilson * | 34 | 16-28 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Jackie Young * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 30 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jewell Loyd | 25 | 9-14 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Mai Yamamoto | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kalani Brown | 4 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper * | 31 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Noemie Brochant * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Natasha Mack * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sami Whitcomb * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Shay Ciezki | 19 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Marta Suarez | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maddy Westbeld | 12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Lexi Held | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Valeriane Ayayi | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter