Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.4% | 53.6% | +0.8 | ✓ (39.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +40 (111-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianna Turner * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jewell Loyd * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dana Evans * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justine Pissott | 25 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mai Yamamoto | 25 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ta'Niya Latson | 24 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kierstan Bell | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Rebecca Allen * | 21 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 20 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jonquel Jones * | 19 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Pauline Astier * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rebekah Gardner | 21 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Marine Fauthoux | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marine Johannes | 21 | 9-14 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Xu Han | 17 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Raquel Carrera | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter