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Washington Mystics

Also known as: Washington Mystics
Program History

2025 Team Stats (46 games)

76.9
PPG
81.5
Opp
-4.6
Margin
43.7%
FG%
32.2%
3P%
75.5%
FT%
33.2
RPG
19.2
APG
14.4
TO
87.3
Pace
79.8
AdjO
79.9
AdjD
#11
Rank

Model Outputs

2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 773 (#16) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 918 (#12) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +45 elo More β†’ 886 (#15) HCA +45 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More β†’ +1.7 (#11) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More β†’ -3.9 (#12) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.308 (#11) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -5.8 More β†’ 0.308 (#11) NetEff -5.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.0 More β†’ 0.500 (#11) AdjNet -0.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.2 More β†’ 0.507 (#11) AdjNet +0.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 79.9 More β†’ 0.500 (#11) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 79.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 81.7 More β†’ 0.363 (#15) AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 81.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.385 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.359 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 142 | GP 46 More β†’ 889 (#13) RD 142 | GP 46

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-05-03 @ Indiana Fever L 74 - 79
2025-05-07 vs Atlanta Dream L 70 - 80
2025-05-16 vs Atlanta Dream W 94 - 90
2025-05-18 @ Connecticut Sun W 90 - 85
2025-05-21 @ Golden State Valkyries L 74 - 76
2025-05-23 @ Las Vegas Aces L 72 - 75
2025-05-25 @ Phoenix Mercury L 62 - 68
2025-05-28 vs Indiana Fever W 83 - 77
2025-05-30 vs New York Liberty L 63 - 85
2025-06-03 @ Indiana Fever L 76 - 85
2025-06-05 vs New York Liberty L 78 - 86
2025-06-08 vs Connecticut Sun W 104 - 67
2025-06-15 vs Atlanta Dream L 56 - 89
2025-06-17 @ Chicago Sky W 79 - 72
2025-06-20 @ Atlanta Dream L 91 - 92
2025-06-22 vs Dallas Wings W 91 - 88
2025-06-24 vs Minnesota Lynx W 68 - 64
2025-06-26 @ Las Vegas Aces W 94 - 83
2025-06-28 @ Dallas Wings L 71 - 79
2025-07-03 @ Minnesota Lynx L 75 - 92
2025-07-08 vs Chicago Sky W 81 - 79
2025-07-10 vs Las Vegas Aces W 70 - 68
2025-07-13 @ Seattle Storm W 74 - 69
2025-07-15 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 80 - 99
2025-07-22 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 86 - 93
2025-07-26 vs Seattle Storm W 69 - 58
2025-07-27 vs Phoenix Mercury L 72 - 88
2025-07-29 vs Chicago Sky W 103 - 86
2025-07-31 vs Golden State Valkyries L 67 - 68
2025-08-03 @ Atlanta Dream L 83 - 99
2025-08-05 @ Chicago Sky L 64 - 78
2025-08-08 @ Minnesota Lynx L 76 - 80
2025-08-10 @ Dallas Wings W 91 - 78
2025-08-13 vs Golden State Valkyries L 83 - 88
2025-08-15 @ Indiana Fever W 88 - 84
2025-08-17 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 95 - 86
2025-08-19 vs Connecticut Sun L 69 - 80
2025-08-21 @ Connecticut Sun L 56 - 67
2025-08-23 vs Las Vegas Aces L 81 - 91
2025-08-24 vs Seattle Storm L 82 - 84
2025-08-28 @ New York Liberty L 63 - 89
2025-08-30 @ Golden State Valkyries L 62 - 99
2025-08-31 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 78 - 81
2025-09-04 vs Phoenix Mercury L 69 - 75
2025-09-07 vs Indiana Fever L 65 - 94
2025-09-09 @ New York Liberty L 66 - 75

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brittney Sykes Brittney Sykes G 27 30.1 15.4 3.3 4.1 1.2 0.3 2.6 12.7 9.0 - - - 38.7 31.2 78.3 -0.54 50.1 42.2
S. Citron S. Citron G 46 31.6 14.7 3.9 2.3 1.3 0.4 2.1 10.5 9.9 - - - 47.4 45.2 87.5 - 61.3 56.1
K. Iriafen K. Iriafen F 46 26.6 13.1 8.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 2.2 10.2 11.4 - - - 48.7 16.7 79.0 - 54.9 48.9
S. Austin S. Austin F 38 23.0 12.7 6.4 1.8 1.1 1.1 2.4 10.8 9.8 - - - 46.5 13.3 66.4 - 50.6 46.7
Sug Sutton Sug Sutton G 45 26.2 7.1 2.0 3.9 0.8 0.1 2.0 6.5 5.3 - - - 41.2 33.9 74.0 - 50.8 48.3
Jacy Sheldon Jacy Sheldon G 2 15.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.0 3.0 - - - 40.0 16.7 80.0 - 53.3 45.0
Aaliyah Edwards Aaliyah Edwards F 21 13.3 6.0 3.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 1.1 4.5 4.9 - - - 47.9 0.0 62.5 - 52.7 47.9
J. Melbourne J. Melbourne G 45 23.3 5.9 1.8 2.8 0.7 0.2 1.7 5.1 4.6 - - - 39.8 27.4 68.4 0.26 49.7 45.5
A. Prechtel A. Prechtel - 2 18.0 5.0 4.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 5.0 3.5 - - - 40.0 0.0 66.7 - 44.2 40.0
Alysha Clark Alysha Clark F 15 22.9 4.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 4.6 5.3 - - - 36.2 24.4 61.5 0.18 45.5 43.5
Z. Green Z. Green - 2 13.5 4.0 1.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 4.5 4.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 40.5 33.3
E. Engstler E. Engstler F 42 13.2 3.9 3.3 1.5 0.7 0.7 1.0 3.6 5.6 - - - 40.0 25.7 66.7 -0.43 49.1 46.0
L. Olsen L. Olsen G 43 12.7 3.9 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 4.0 2.2 - - - 39.3 25.7 82.4 - 46.8 44.8
S. Dolson S. Dolson C 45 15.4 3.8 2.4 1.4 0.3 0.3 0.7 3.3 4.3 - - - 43.0 35.9 73.9 - 54.4 52.3
Marion Jones Marion Jones - 1 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Sika KonΓ© Sika KonΓ© F 11 6.8 2.1 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.0 - - - 38.9 33.3 88.9 0.46 52.4 41.7
K. Cave K. Cave - 2 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 3.0 2.5 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
J. Lacey J. Lacey - 1 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -3.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
M. Scott M. Scott G 9 5.2 1.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.8 - - - 45.5 0.0 100.0 - 54.9 45.5
G. Amoore G. Amoore G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG