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Minnesota Lynx

Also known as: Minnesota Lynx
Program History

2026 Team Stats (46 games)

90.1
PPG
83.9
Opp
+6.2
Margin
47.4%
FG%
38.2%
3P%
81.4%
FT%
34.2
RPG
21.8
APG
12.6
TO
81.5
Est. poss./game
89.2
Adj PPG
83.1
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1104 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +45 elo More โ†’ 1164 (#2) HCA +45 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +76 elo More โ†’ 1037 (#7) HCA +76 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ +6.2 (#3) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More โ†’ +2.8 (#8) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.694 (#3) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.3 More โ†’ 0.688 (#3) AdjNet +7.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.3 More โ†’ 0.690 (#3) AdjNet +7.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 89.2 | AdjD 83.1 More โ†’ 0.634 (#3) AdjO 89.2 | AdjD 83.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 85.7 | AdjD 83.6 More โ†’ 0.549 (#8) AdjO 85.7 | AdjD 83.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.625 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.608 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 158 | GP 46 More โ†’ 1099 (#5) RD 158 | GP 46
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.627 (#4) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-05-09 vs Atlanta Dream L 90 - 91
2026-05-12 @ Phoenix Mercury W 88 - 84
2026-05-14 @ Dallas Wings W 90 - 86
2026-05-17 vs Chicago Sky L 79 - 86
2026-05-21 vs Toronto Tempo W 100 - 72
2026-05-23 @ Chicago Sky W 85 - 75
2026-05-27 vs Atlanta Dream W 96 - 81
2026-05-29 @ Chicago Sky W 79 - 58
2026-06-01 @ Phoenix Mercury W 111 - 77
2026-06-04 vs Golden State Valkyries W 87 - 84
2026-06-06 vs Seattle Storm W 88 - 68
2026-06-09 vs Dallas Wings W 100 - 76
2026-06-13 @ Las Vegas Aces L 97 - 100
2026-06-15 vs Portland Fire W 107 - 74
2026-06-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 99 - 83
2026-06-19 @ Golden State Valkyries W 81 - 75
2026-06-21 vs Washington Mystics L 79 - 84
2026-06-24 @ Washington Mystics W 78 - 76
2026-06-28 @ Dallas Wings W 85 - 77
2026-07-03 @ New York Liberty L 86 - 99
2026-07-06 vs Connecticut Sun L 89 - 90
2026-07-08 @ Connecticut Sun W 86 - 80
2026-07-11 vs New York Liberty W 90 - 85
2026-07-13 vs Phoenix Mercury W 104 - 100
2026-07-15 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 96 - 87
2026-07-18 vs Portland Fire W 101 - 93
2026-07-20 @ Seattle Storm W 105 - 102
2026-07-22 @ Seattle Storm W 86 - 76
2026-07-28 vs Toronto Tempo W 100 - 93
2026-07-30 @ Toronto Tempo W 104 - 72
2026-08-02 vs Indiana Fever W 108 - 100
2026-08-06 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 82 - 89
2026-08-08 vs Las Vegas Aces W 98 - 87
2026-08-09 vs Dallas Wings W 103 - 90
2026-08-12 @ Portland Fire W 85 - 81
2026-08-15 @ Las Vegas Aces W 92 - 87
2026-08-19 @ Golden State Valkyries W 77 - 66
2026-08-21 @ Washington Mystics W 94 - 84
2026-08-24 vs Golden State Valkyries L 66 - 80
2026-08-30 @ Atlanta Dream L 81 - 89
2026-09-18 vs New York Liberty L 81 - 93
2026-09-20 @ Connecticut Sun W 101 - 89
2026-09-22 @ Indiana Fever L 77 - 96
2026-09-24 vs Indiana Fever W 86 - 66
2026-09-27 vs New York Liberty L 75 - 91
2026-09-29 @ New York Liberty L 71 - 87

2026 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Olivia Miles Olivia Miles - 42 30.7 19.2 4.7 5.7 1.2 0.6 3.0 14.0 14.5 252 42 6.0 7.8 48.2 38.2 87.4 1.58 59.7 53.8
Kayla McBride Kayla McBride G 46 32.2 17.5 3.0 2.3 1.7 0.2 1.3 12.6 10.8 249 46 5.4 6.7 45.3 41.2 91.9 0.47 61.8 56.6
Napheesa Collier Napheesa Collier F 18 29.8 16.3 6.8 2.5 1.2 0.8 2.2 12.8 12.6 41 18 2.3 3.1 49.1 42.1 83.0 -0.67 58.0 54.3
Natasha Howard Natasha Howard F 46 27.9 14.4 7.5 3.2 1.5 1.0 2.5 9.8 15.2 304 46 6.6 9.5 59.6 18.8 71.5 2.29 62.9 59.9
Courtney Williams Courtney Williams G 45 30.2 13.8 4.9 4.4 1.1 0.3 1.8 13.0 9.6 236 45 5.2 7.0 44.7 37.0 83.6 1.01 50.9 49.1
Emma Cechova Emma Cechova F 3 17.3 8.3 3.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.3 5.3 6.3 -10 3 -3.3 -7.7 62.5 0.0 62.5 -0.46 64.0 62.5
Nia Coffey Nia Coffey F 46 22.3 6.5 4.1 1.7 0.9 1.0 0.7 5.4 8.1 138 46 3.0 5.4 44.4 39.2 60.7 -0.01 57.0 56.4
Aari McDonald Aari McDonald G 5 12.4 6.0 0.6 2.0 0.8 0.0 1.0 4.8 3.6 -9 5 -1.8 -5.8 33.3 38.5 90.0 -0.45 52.8 43.8
Chloe Bibby Chloe Bibby F 6 9.5 4.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.8 1.3 1 10 0.1 0.4 43.5 36.8 0 -0.33 58.7 58.7
Maya Caldwell Maya Caldwell G 46 14.1 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.7 3.7 3.7 88 46 1.9 5.4 36.8 36.0 81.5 -0.48 48.9 45.9
A. Kosu A. Kosu F 30 10.3 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.6 2.7 3.8 107 30 3.6 13.9 47.6 66.7 84.8 1.09 55.9 48.8
Liatu King Liatu King F 12 8.7 3.5 2.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.4 2.6 3.8 -21 12 -1.8 -8.0 51.6 20.0 53.3 -0.83 55.9 54.8
Dorka Juhรกsz Dorka Juhรกsz F 23 14.7 3.3 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 3.6 4.3 - - - - 36.6 28.3 25.0 - 45.4 45.7
Antonia Delaere Antonia Delaere F 40 11.5 2.9 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.4 81 40 2.0 7.0 45.7 41.9 100.0 -0.14 61.5 59.8
Emese Hof Emese Hof - 3 7.0 2.3 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.3 2.0 1.3 -18 3 -6.0 -35.0 50.0 0 50.0 -0.88 50.9 50.0
Hamzova Hamzova G 21 5.3 1.7 1.0 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.5 - - - - 43.5 0.0 76.2 - 55.8 43.5
Teaira McCowan Teaira McCowan C 10 6.8 1.4 2.4 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.5 2.6 42 10 4.2 24.6 46.7 0 0.0 0.31 42.9 46.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026 Shot Zones

3239 located field-goal attempts in 46 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Howard31% Howard25% Williams64% Williams59% Williams56% McBride19% McBride42% McBride38% Miles36% McBride28%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Miles27% Howard20% Williams48% Williams54% Williams53% Coffey31% McBride34% McBride27% McBride26% McBride30%
Misses: who misses most here

Kayla McBrideOlivia MilesCourtney WilliamsNatasha HowardNia Coffey

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 613-960 63.9 1226 Natasha Howard 31% (382 pts) Olivia Miles 25% (302 pts) Olivia Miles 27% (93 misses) Natasha Howard 25% (88 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 265-604 43.9 530 Natasha Howard 25% (134 pts) Olivia Miles 17% (88 pts) Natasha Howard 20% (68 misses) Olivia Miles 19% (65 misses)
Mid-range left 92-213 43.2 184 Courtney Williams 64% (118 pts) Kayla McBride 12% (22 pts) Courtney Williams 48% (58 misses) Kayla McBride 12% (14 misses)
Mid-range center 68-160 42.5 136 Courtney Williams 59% (80 pts) Kayla McBride 16% (22 pts) Courtney Williams 54% (50 misses) Olivia Miles 16% (15 misses)
Mid-range right 77-197 39.1 154 Courtney Williams 56% (86 pts) Olivia Miles 18% (28 pts) Courtney Williams 53% (64 misses) Olivia Miles 15% (18 misses)
Left corner 3 26-52 50.0 78 Kayla McBride 19% (15 pts) Nia Coffey 19% (15 pts) Nia Coffey 31% (8 misses) Antonia Delaere 15% (4 misses)
Right corner 3 24-62 38.7 72 Kayla McBride 42% (30 pts) Antonia Delaere 21% (15 pts) Kayla McBride 34% (13 misses) Maya Caldwell 18% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left 158-417 37.9 474 Kayla McBride 38% (180 pts) Nia Coffey 12% (57 pts) Kayla McBride 27% (70 misses) Courtney Williams 15% (40 misses)
Above-break 3 center 78-212 36.8 234 Olivia Miles 36% (84 pts) Kayla McBride 22% (51 pts) Kayla McBride 26% (35 misses) Olivia Miles 22% (30 misses)
Above-break 3 right 137-362 37.8 411 Kayla McBride 28% (117 pts) Courtney Williams 18% (72 pts) Kayla McBride 30% (67 misses) Olivia Miles 18% (40 misses)