Minnesota Lynx
2026 Team Stats (46 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1104 (#4) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1164 (#2) | HCA +45 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1037 (#7) | HCA +76 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +6.2 (#3) | HCA +2.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +2.8 (#8) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.694 (#3) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.688 (#3) | AdjNet +7.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.690 (#3) | AdjNet +7.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.634 (#3) | AdjO 89.2 | AdjD 83.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.549 (#8) | AdjO 85.7 | AdjD 83.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.625 (#4) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.608 (#5) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1099 (#5) | RD 158 | GP 46 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.627 (#4) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Olivia Miles
|
- | 42 | 30.7 | 19.2 | 4.7 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 14.5 | 252 | 42 | 6.0 | 7.8 | 48.2 | 38.2 | 87.4 | 1.58 | 59.7 | 53.8 |
Kayla McBride
|
G | 46 | 32.2 | 17.5 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 12.6 | 10.8 | 249 | 46 | 5.4 | 6.7 | 45.3 | 41.2 | 91.9 | 0.47 | 61.8 | 56.6 |
Napheesa Collier
|
F | 18 | 29.8 | 16.3 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 12.8 | 12.6 | 41 | 18 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 49.1 | 42.1 | 83.0 | -0.67 | 58.0 | 54.3 |
Natasha Howard
|
F | 46 | 27.9 | 14.4 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 9.8 | 15.2 | 304 | 46 | 6.6 | 9.5 | 59.6 | 18.8 | 71.5 | 2.29 | 62.9 | 59.9 |
Courtney Williams
|
G | 45 | 30.2 | 13.8 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 13.0 | 9.6 | 236 | 45 | 5.2 | 7.0 | 44.7 | 37.0 | 83.6 | 1.01 | 50.9 | 49.1 |
Emma Cechova
|
F | 3 | 17.3 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 6.3 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -7.7 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -0.46 | 64.0 | 62.5 |
Nia Coffey
|
F | 46 | 22.3 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 5.4 | 8.1 | 138 | 46 | 3.0 | 5.4 | 44.4 | 39.2 | 60.7 | -0.01 | 57.0 | 56.4 |
Aari McDonald
|
G | 5 | 12.4 | 6.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 3.6 | -9 | 5 | -1.8 | -5.8 | 33.3 | 38.5 | 90.0 | -0.45 | 52.8 | 43.8 |
Chloe Bibby
|
F | 6 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1 | 10 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 43.5 | 36.8 | 0 | -0.33 | 58.7 | 58.7 |
Maya Caldwell
|
G | 46 | 14.1 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 88 | 46 | 1.9 | 5.4 | 36.8 | 36.0 | 81.5 | -0.48 | 48.9 | 45.9 |
A. Kosu
|
F | 30 | 10.3 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 107 | 30 | 3.6 | 13.9 | 47.6 | 66.7 | 84.8 | 1.09 | 55.9 | 48.8 |
Liatu King
|
F | 12 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 3.8 | -21 | 12 | -1.8 | -8.0 | 51.6 | 20.0 | 53.3 | -0.83 | 55.9 | 54.8 |
Dorka Juhรกsz
|
F | 23 | 14.7 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 3.6 | 4.3 | - | - | - | - | 36.6 | 28.3 | 25.0 | - | 45.4 | 45.7 |
Antonia Delaere
|
F | 40 | 11.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 81 | 40 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 45.7 | 41.9 | 100.0 | -0.14 | 61.5 | 59.8 |
Emese Hof
|
- | 3 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | -18 | 3 | -6.0 | -35.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.88 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
Hamzova
|
G | 21 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 43.5 | 0.0 | 76.2 | - | 55.8 | 43.5 |
Teaira McCowan
|
C | 10 | 6.8 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 42 | 10 | 4.2 | 24.6 | 46.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.31 | 42.9 | 46.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026 Shot Zones
3239 located field-goal attempts in 46 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Kayla McBrideOlivia MilesCourtney WilliamsNatasha HowardNia Coffey
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 613-960 | 63.9 | 1226 | Natasha Howard 31% (382 pts) | Olivia Miles 25% (302 pts) | Olivia Miles 27% (93 misses) | Natasha Howard 25% (88 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 265-604 | 43.9 | 530 | Natasha Howard 25% (134 pts) | Olivia Miles 17% (88 pts) | Natasha Howard 20% (68 misses) | Olivia Miles 19% (65 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 92-213 | 43.2 | 184 | Courtney Williams 64% (118 pts) | Kayla McBride 12% (22 pts) | Courtney Williams 48% (58 misses) | Kayla McBride 12% (14 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 68-160 | 42.5 | 136 | Courtney Williams 59% (80 pts) | Kayla McBride 16% (22 pts) | Courtney Williams 54% (50 misses) | Olivia Miles 16% (15 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 77-197 | 39.1 | 154 | Courtney Williams 56% (86 pts) | Olivia Miles 18% (28 pts) | Courtney Williams 53% (64 misses) | Olivia Miles 15% (18 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 26-52 | 50.0 | 78 | Kayla McBride 19% (15 pts) | Nia Coffey 19% (15 pts) | Nia Coffey 31% (8 misses) | Antonia Delaere 15% (4 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 24-62 | 38.7 | 72 | Kayla McBride 42% (30 pts) | Antonia Delaere 21% (15 pts) | Kayla McBride 34% (13 misses) | Maya Caldwell 18% (7 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 158-417 | 37.9 | 474 | Kayla McBride 38% (180 pts) | Nia Coffey 12% (57 pts) | Kayla McBride 27% (70 misses) | Courtney Williams 15% (40 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 78-212 | 36.8 | 234 | Olivia Miles 36% (84 pts) | Kayla McBride 22% (51 pts) | Kayla McBride 26% (35 misses) | Olivia Miles 22% (30 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 137-362 | 37.8 | 411 | Kayla McBride 28% (117 pts) | Courtney Williams 18% (72 pts) | Kayla McBride 30% (67 misses) | Olivia Miles 18% (40 misses) |