Portland Fire
Also known as: Portland Fire
Program History
2026 Team Stats (44 games)
86.2
PPG
91.0
Opp
-4.8
Margin
44.8%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
80.7%
FT%
30.2
RPG
20.4
APG
14.2
TO
82.4
Est. poss./game
85.8
Adj PPG
90.2
Adj Opp PPG
#12
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 963 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 920 (#9) | HCA +45 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 949 (#10) | HCA +76 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.5 (#12) | HCA +2.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.6 (#11) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.349 (#12) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.368 (#12) | AdjNet -4.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.367 (#12) | AdjNet -4.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.402 (#12) | AdjO 85.8 | AdjD 90.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.429 (#11) | AdjO 87.2 | AdjD 90.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.398 (#10) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.404 (#10) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 908 (#10) | RD 183 | GP 44 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.383 (#10) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carla Leite
|
G | 39 | 26.1 | 16.1 | 2.2 | 6.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 10.4 | 11.4 | -70 | 39 | -1.8 | -2.8 | 45.9 | 40.2 | 86.0 | -0.15 | 60.5 | 50.5 |
Bridget Carleton
|
F | 40 | 30.9 | 14.6 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 12.0 | 9.9 | -63 | 40 | -1.6 | -2.0 | 40.5 | 36.8 | 88.2 | 0.43 | 55.9 | 52.1 |
Megan Gustafson
|
C | 41 | 24.3 | 13.1 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 9.3 | 9.3 | -94 | 41 | -2.3 | -3.8 | 55.0 | 34.7 | 81.5 | -0.64 | 64.5 | 61.8 |
Sug Sutton
|
G | 3 | 23.0 | 11.3 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.3 | 7.0 | -21 | 25 | -0.8 | -3.3 | 41.9 | 25.0 | 60.0 | -1.21 | 48.0 | 45.2 |
Sarah Ashlee Barker
|
G | 26 | 24.7 | 10.7 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 8.3 | 8.5 | -51 | 26 | -2.0 | -3.2 | 50.2 | 40.0 | 74.3 | -0.63 | 60.3 | 58.6 |
Emily Engstler
|
F | 44 | 24.7 | 10.1 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 8.2 | 10.7 | -86 | 44 | -2.0 | -3.2 | 46.5 | 37.1 | 71.8 | 0.04 | 56.7 | 54.3 |
Charisma Osborne
|
- | 3 | 19.7 | 9.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 18 | 3 | 6.0 | 12.2 | 47.4 | 50.0 | 85.7 | -0.06 | 65.7 | 60.5 |
Kamiah Smalls
|
- | 2 | 15.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | -19 | 2 | -9.5 | -25.2 | 50.0 | 57.1 | 100.0 | -0.84 | 71.8 | 70.0 |
F. Bühner
|
F | 39 | 15.5 | 6.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 3.6 | -119 | 39 | -3.1 | -7.9 | 43.3 | 34.7 | 87.5 | -1.69 | 56.7 | 52.1 |
Amy Okonkwo
|
F | 4 | 12.2 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 3.2 | -27 | 5 | -5.4 | -21.4 | 42.9 | 35.7 | 100.0 | -0.86 | 57.1 | 54.8 |
Teja Oblak
|
G | 29 | 13.4 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 3.3 | -68 | 29 | -2.3 | -7.0 | 41.7 | 36.7 | 72.2 | -0.99 | 50.7 | 49.0 |
Haley Jones
|
G | 5 | 11.6 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 4.2 | -11 | 11 | -1.0 | -5.2 | 58.8 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.74 | 63.4 | 58.8 |
Jordan Harrison
|
- | 16 | 13.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.8 | -32 | 16 | -2.0 | -5.7 | 42.2 | 26.1 | 75.0 | -0.5 | 53.1 | 46.9 |
Karlie Samuelson
|
G | 32 | 16.1 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 3.6 | - | - | - | - | 35.8 | 30.4 | 89.2 | - | 54.6 | 48.4 |
Luisa Geiselsoder
|
C | 21 | 16.6 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 3.4 | -25 | 21 | -1.2 | -2.9 | 33.0 | 29.1 | 80.0 | -0.15 | 44.1 | 41.0 |
Serah Williams
|
- | 39 | 13.2 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 4.4 | -63 | 39 | -1.6 | -4.9 | 54.5 | 50.0 | 61.5 | -0.88 | 57.2 | 54.9 |
Nyadiew Puoch
|
F | 42 | 18.5 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 3.0 | -141 | 42 | -3.4 | -7.3 | 36.6 | 24.4 | 63.9 | -1.73 | 44.8 | 42.5 |
Holly Winterburn
|
- | 29 | 11.3 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 3.0 | -103 | 29 | -3.6 | -12.7 | 39.3 | 18.9 | 91.7 | -1.92 | 49.3 | 43.9 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026 Shot Zones
2982 located field-goal attempts in 44 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Bridget CarletonMegan GustafsonCarla LeiteEmily EngstlerNyadiew Puoch
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 476-740 | 64.3 | 952 | Megan Gustafson 20% (190 pts) | Carla Leite 16% (148 pts) | Carla Leite 17% (46 misses) | Emily Engstler 13% (34 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 350-775 | 45.2 | 700 | Carla Leite 17% (122 pts) | Megan Gustafson 17% (118 pts) | Carla Leite 20% (86 misses) | Emily Engstler 13% (56 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 25-70 | 35.7 | 50 | Bridget Carleton 44% (22 pts) | Carla Leite 20% (10 pts) | Bridget Carleton 36% (16 misses) | Carla Leite 27% (12 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 18-40 | 45.0 | 36 | Bridget Carleton 39% (14 pts) | Carla Leite 28% (10 pts) | Carla Leite 45% (10 misses) | Teja Oblak 23% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 21-50 | 42.0 | 42 | Bridget Carleton 33% (14 pts) | Carla Leite 24% (10 pts) | Bridget Carleton 28% (8 misses) | Carla Leite 28% (8 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 32-99 | 32.3 | 96 | Emily Engstler 22% (21 pts) | Sarah Ashlee Barker 22% (21 pts) | Nyadiew Puoch 18% (12 misses) | Karlie Samuelson 16% (11 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 28-69 | 40.6 | 84 | Emily Engstler 18% (15 pts) | Karlie Samuelson 18% (15 pts) | Bridget Carleton 15% (6 misses) | Emily Engstler 15% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 158-493 | 32.0 | 474 | Bridget Carleton 29% (138 pts) | Megan Gustafson 15% (72 pts) | Bridget Carleton 24% (82 misses) | Megan Gustafson 12% (41 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 77-226 | 34.1 | 231 | Bridget Carleton 23% (54 pts) | Carla Leite 16% (36 pts) | Bridget Carleton 17% (25 misses) | Megan Gustafson 14% (21 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 155-420 | 36.9 | 465 | Bridget Carleton 25% (117 pts) | Emily Engstler 14% (66 pts) | Bridget Carleton 26% (68 misses) | Emily Engstler 11% (30 misses) |