🐻⬇️🏀

Atlanta Hawks

Also known as: Atlanta Hawks
Program History

2018 Team Stats (79 games)

103.7
PPG
109.0
Opp
-5.3
Margin
44.8%
FG%
36.3%
3P%
78.6%
FT%
41.9
RPG
23.8
APG
15.0
TO
100.3
Est. poss./game
102.3
Adj PPG
107.6
Adj Opp PPG
#26
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 824 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 844 (#28) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More → 926 (#24) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -5.3 (#26) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -5.7 (#26) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.356 (#26) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.9 More → 0.363 (#26) AdjNet -4.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.9 More → 0.363 (#26) AdjNet -4.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 102.3 | AdjD 107.6 More → 0.383 (#26) AdjO 102.3 | AdjD 107.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 102.5 | AdjD 107.4 More → 0.391 (#26) AdjO 102.5 | AdjD 107.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.347 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.349 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 244 | GP 82 More → 871 (#25) RD 244 | GP 82

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-10-18 @ Dallas Mavericks W 117 - 111
2017-10-20 @ Charlotte Hornets L 91 - 109
2017-10-22 @ Brooklyn Nets L 104 - 116
2017-10-23 @ Miami Heat L 93 - 104
2017-10-26 @ Chicago Bulls L 86 - 91
2017-10-27 vs Denver Nuggets L 100 - 105
2017-10-29 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 106 - 117
2017-11-01 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 109 - 119
2017-11-03 vs Houston Rockets L 104 - 119
2017-11-05 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 117 - 115
2017-11-06 vs Boston Celtics L 107 - 110
2017-11-10 @ Detroit Pistons L 104 - 111
2017-11-11 @ Washington Wizards L 94 - 113
2017-11-13 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 105 - 106
2017-11-15 vs Sacramento Kings W 126 - 80
2017-11-18 vs Boston Celtics L 99 - 110
2017-11-20 @ San Antonio Spurs L 85 - 96
2017-11-22 vs LA Clippers L 103 - 116
2017-11-24 vs New York Knicks W 116 - 104
2017-11-25 vs Toronto Raptors L 78 - 112
2017-11-30 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 114 - 121
2017-12-02 @ Brooklyn Nets W 114 - 102
2017-12-06 @ Orlando Magic L 106 - 110
2017-12-09 vs Orlando Magic W 117 - 110
2017-12-10 @ New York Knicks L 107 - 111
2017-12-12 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 114 - 123
2017-12-14 vs Detroit Pistons L 91 - 105
2017-12-15 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 94 - 96
2017-12-18 vs Miami Heat W 110 - 104
2017-12-20 vs Indiana Pacers L 95 - 105
2017-12-22 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 117 - 120
2017-12-23 vs Dallas Mavericks W 112 - 107
2017-12-27 vs Washington Wizards W 113 - 99
2017-12-29 @ Toronto Raptors L 98 - 111
2017-12-30 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 104 - 89
2018-01-02 @ Phoenix Suns L 103 - 104
2018-01-05 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 89 - 110
2018-01-07 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 113 - 132
2018-01-08 @ LA Clippers L 107 - 108
2018-01-10 @ Denver Nuggets W 110 - 97
2018-01-12 vs Brooklyn Nets L 105 - 110
2018-01-15 vs San Antonio Spurs W 102 - 99
2018-01-17 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 94 - 93
2018-01-20 vs Chicago Bulls L 97 - 113
2018-01-22 vs Utah Jazz W 104 - 90
2018-01-24 vs Toronto Raptors L 93 - 108
2018-01-26 @ Charlotte Hornets L 110 - 121
2018-01-27 vs Washington Wizards L 104 - 129
2018-01-29 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 105 - 100
2018-01-31 vs Charlotte Hornets L 110 - 123
2018-02-02 @ Boston Celtics L 110 - 119
2018-02-04 @ New York Knicks W 99 - 96
2018-02-06 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 108 - 82
2018-02-09 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 107 - 123
2018-02-11 vs Detroit Pistons W 118 - 115
2018-02-13 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 92 - 97
2018-02-23 @ Indiana Pacers L 93 - 116
2018-02-26 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 104 - 123
2018-02-28 vs Indiana Pacers W 107 - 102
2018-03-02 vs Golden State Warriors L 109 - 114
2018-03-04 vs Phoenix Suns W 113 - 112
2018-03-06 @ Toronto Raptors L 90 - 106
2018-03-09 @ Indiana Pacers L 87 - 112
2018-03-11 vs Chicago Bulls L 122 - 129
2018-03-13 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 107 - 119
2018-03-15 vs Charlotte Hornets L 117 - 129
2018-03-17 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 117 - 122
2018-03-20 @ Utah Jazz W 99 - 94
2018-03-22 @ Sacramento Kings L 90 - 105
2018-03-23 @ Golden State Warriors L 94 - 106
2018-03-25 @ Houston Rockets L 99 - 118
2018-03-28 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 114 - 126
2018-03-30 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 91 - 101
2018-04-01 vs Orlando Magic W 94 - 88
2018-04-03 @ Miami Heat L 98 - 101
2018-04-04 vs Miami Heat L 86 - 115
2018-04-06 @ Washington Wizards W 103 - 97
2018-04-08 @ Boston Celtics W 112 - 106
2018-04-10 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 113 - 121

2018 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dennis Schröder Dennis Schröder G 65 31.0 19.4 3.0 6.3 1.1 0.1 2.8 17.1 10.1 - - - - 43.6 28.9 85.2 - 51.5 46.9
Taurean Prince Taurean Prince F 79 30.1 14.2 4.8 2.6 1.0 0.5 2.4 11.9 8.9 - - - - 42.8 38.9 85.2 - 55.2 51.9
Kent Bazemore Kent Bazemore G 63 27.6 13.0 3.8 3.6 1.5 0.7 2.3 10.4 9.8 - - - - 42.4 39.8 79.0 - 55.1 50.5
Marco Belinelli G 51 23.3 11.4 1.9 2.0 0.9 0.1 1.1 9.4 5.9 - - - - 41.4 37.6 92.2 - 55.7 51.0
Ersan Ilyasova Ersan Ilyasova F 44 25.9 11.2 5.6 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.9 8.9 9.4 - - - - 45.9 36.1 80.7 - 57.0 53.6
Damion Lee Damion Lee G 15 27.0 10.7 4.7 1.9 1.3 0.1 0.9 10.1 7.7 - - - - 40.8 25.0 75.9 - 48.9 45.7
John Collins John Collins F 72 24.0 10.5 7.2 1.4 0.6 1.1 1.4 7.3 12.0 - - - - 58.1 34.1 71.1 - 62.3 59.6
Dewayne Dedmon Dewayne Dedmon F 60 24.9 10.0 8.0 1.4 0.7 0.8 1.4 7.6 12.0 - - - - 53.2 36.9 77.9 - 60.7 58.4
Mike Muscala Mike Muscala F 51 20.0 7.7 4.3 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.8 5.9 7.3 - - - - 46.2 37.7 91.8 - 60.3 56.4
Tyler Dorsey G 53 17.2 7.2 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 6.8 3.6 - - - - 37.1 36.1 72.6 - 49.2 46.7
Isaiah Taylor G 64 17.3 6.6 1.4 3.1 0.5 0.2 1.2 5.8 4.8 - - - - 41.6 25.0 69.9 - 49.1 44.2
Luke Babbitt F 36 15.4 6.2 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.4 4.6 4.4 - - - - 47.9 44.0 77.3 - 63.8 62.4
Malcolm Delaney G 51 18.9 6.1 1.9 3.0 0.6 0.1 1.2 5.3 5.3 - - - - 37.3 36.1 81.7 - 51.0 45.3
DeAndre' Bembry DeAndre' Bembry G 24 17.2 4.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.4 1.8 4.6 4.2 - - - - 40.9 41.7 56.7 - 47.5 45.5
Tyler Cavanaugh C 38 13.1 4.7 3.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.3 3.9 4.8 - - - - 44.9 36.9 84.2 - 57.6 55.4
Jaylen Morris - 6 16.4 4.7 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.2 1.0 5.3 2.7 - - - - 40.6 20.0 0 - 43.8 43.8
Miles Plumlee C 52 16.6 4.4 4.1 0.8 0.3 0.6 1.1 3.3 5.8 - - - - 59.1 0 44.8 - 58.0 59.1
Andrew White III - 14 13.7 3.9 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.5 4.4 1.8 - - - - 30.6 35.7 25.0 - 42.3 42.7
Antonius Cleveland - 4 10.4 3.2 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.8 1.8 - - - - 57.1 100.0 100.0 - 82.5 78.6
Josh Magette - 18 12.0 2.6 1.1 3.2 0.4 0.1 0.5 2.6 4.2 - - - - 32.6 36.4 100.0 - 46.4 41.3
Jeremy Evans - 1 5.3 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Nicolas Brussino - 4 2.5 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2017-2018 Shot Zones

3606 located field-goal attempts in 42 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Collins17% Prince17% Schröder31% Schröder36% Schröder28% Muscala17% Prince21% Prince24% Prince20% Prince25%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Schröder15% Schröder16% Schröder23% Schröder24% Schröder26% Muscala15% Prince16% Prince22% Prince18% Prince22%
Misses: who misses most here

Taurean PrinceDennis SchröderJohn CollinsMike Muscala

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 676-1103 61.3 1352 John Collins 17% (232 pts) Dennis Schröder 13% (182 pts) Dennis Schröder 15% (66 misses) John Collins 12% (52 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 192-519 37.0 384 Taurean Prince 17% (64 pts) Dewayne Dedmon 14% (52 pts) Dennis Schröder 16% (52 misses) Taurean Prince 13% (41 misses)
Mid-range left 86-209 41.1 172 Dennis Schröder 31% (54 pts) Dewayne Dedmon 9% (16 pts) Dennis Schröder 23% (28 misses) Taurean Prince 15% (18 misses)
Mid-range center 64-161 39.8 128 Dennis Schröder 36% (46 pts) Tyler Dorsey 16% (20 pts) Dennis Schröder 24% (23 misses) Tyler Dorsey 15% (15 misses)
Mid-range right 89-233 38.2 178 Dennis Schröder 28% (50 pts) Dewayne Dedmon 11% (20 pts) Dennis Schröder 26% (37 misses) Taurean Prince 11% (16 misses)
Left corner 3 81-191 42.4 243 Mike Muscala 17% (42 pts) Kent Bazemore 15% (36 pts) Mike Muscala 15% (16 misses) Taurean Prince 13% (14 misses)
Right corner 3 63-161 39.1 189 Taurean Prince 21% (39 pts) Mike Muscala 14% (27 pts) Taurean Prince 16% (16 misses) Dewayne Dedmon 15% (15 misses)
Above-break 3 left 131-382 34.3 393 Taurean Prince 24% (96 pts) Tyler Dorsey 15% (57 pts) Taurean Prince 22% (54 misses) Dennis Schröder 11% (28 misses)
Above-break 3 center 120-310 38.7 360 Taurean Prince 20% (72 pts) Tyler Dorsey 18% (66 pts) Taurean Prince 18% (35 misses) Dennis Schröder 16% (30 misses)
Above-break 3 right 92-337 27.3 276 Taurean Prince 25% (69 pts) Tyler Dorsey 16% (45 pts) Taurean Prince 22% (54 misses) Tyler Dorsey 15% (36 misses)