Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (101-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Taylor * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Damion Lee * | 37 | 6-19 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Miles Plumlee * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| John Collins * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Taurean Prince * | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Dorsey | 38 | 6-16 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Mike Muscala | 32 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| James Johnson * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 28 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade | 24 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 22 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 20 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
* = starter