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2017-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 68.9% 31.1% -3.2 ✗ (18.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 71.8% 28.2% - ✗
Margin 71.7% 28.3% -5.1 ✗ (20.1 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 71.1% 28.9% - ✗
Log Adjusted 71.1% 28.9% - ✗
Points Off/Def 59.8% 40.2% - ✗

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +15 (104-89). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 35 8-21 1-4 1-3 4 2 1 1 2 18 3 -
Shabazz Napier * 35 8-15 1-2 4-4 8 6 1 2 3 21 20 -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 31 4-9 1-6 1-2 5 3 1 1 3 10 8 -
Evan Turner * 30 4-9 1-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 9 8 -
Jusuf Nurkić * 24 3-11 0-0 2-2 11 4 1 3 4 8 12 -
Pat Connaughton 21 1-5 1-4 2-2 2 1 1 1 2 5 3 -
Ed Davis 20 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 8 8 -
Maurice Harkless 17 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 6 3 -
Zach Collins 16 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 2 -1 -
Jake Layman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Noah Vonleh 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schröder * 33 9-17 1-3 3-3 1 8 1 0 1 22 14 -
Taurean Prince * 30 4-8 4-7 0-0 10 5 0 0 3 12 16 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 28 5-15 2-4 1-2 8 2 1 1 0 13 10 -
Kent Bazemore * 25 4-10 1-3 3-4 3 2 2 2 3 12 8 -
Miles Plumlee * 19 2-2 0-0 0-2 4 2 2 0 1 4 9 -
John Collins 25 2-8 0-0 1-1 9 4 2 0 1 5 11 -
Tyler Cavanaugh 22 5-7 3-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 13 11 -
Marco Belinelli 21 5-10 2-4 2-3 1 2 2 0 1 14 8 -
Malcolm Delaney 16 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 5 2 -
Isaiah Taylor 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 4 4 -
Tyler Dorsey 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter