Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | +8.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +5 (97-92). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schröder * | 31 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Taurean Prince * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 29 | 6-15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 27 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| John Collins | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Mike Muscala | 17 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Malcolm Delaney | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Taylor | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Dorsey | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 31 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Thon Maker * | 24 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 23 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jabari Parker | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Sterling Brown | 16 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jason Terry | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Sean Kilpatrick | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter