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2018-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 59.1% 40.9% -1.2 ✓ (11.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% - ✓
Margin 63.4% 36.6% -3.0 ✓ (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 64.3% 35.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 55.2% 44.8% - ✓

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -13 (110-123). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kemba Walker * 38 12-20 9-13 5-7 2 6 0 0 1 38 25 -
Nicolas Batum * 35 4-9 1-4 1-1 11 10 2 0 4 10 20 -
Dwight Howard * 31 8-13 0-0 4-5 12 2 1 0 4 20 18 -
Frank Kaminsky * 29 4-10 1-4 2-3 3 2 1 0 1 11 6 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 20 5-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 10 8 -
Treveon Graham 26 5-8 2-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 14 9 -
Jeremy Lamb 19 4-8 2-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
Johnny O'Bryant III 16 2-8 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 5 0 -
Michael Carter-Williams 14 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 5 1 0 0 2 8 -
Malik Monk 2 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Julyan Stone 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Dwayne Bacon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schröder * 29 6-14 0-5 1-2 2 9 0 0 1 13 9 -
Kent Bazemore * 27 8-11 3-5 6-6 2 5 1 0 2 25 20 -
Taurean Prince * 24 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 24 5-10 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 11 6 -
Miles Plumlee * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
Marco Belinelli 24 6-12 4-7 6-6 3 0 1 0 1 22 13 -
Dewayne Dedmon 22 3-4 1-1 2-2 5 2 1 0 0 9 13 -
John Collins 21 5-6 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 0 12 11 -
Mike Muscala 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 6 10 -
Tyler Dorsey 16 2-7 1-4 2-2 0 2 0 1 1 7 2 -
Malcolm Delaney 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Luke Babbitt 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Isaiah Taylor 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter