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2018-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% +9.8 ✓ (13.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 17.9% 82.1% - ✓
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.3 ✓ (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Pacers +23 (116-93). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 30 4-6 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 2 0 9 14 -
Kent Bazemore * 28 5-10 0-3 2-3 5 2 0 1 3 12 7 -
Taurean Prince * 27 6-14 2-7 0-0 7 2 3 0 6 14 6 -
Dennis Schröder * 27 3-12 0-3 3-4 2 2 1 0 4 9 -2 -
Dewayne Dedmon * 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
DeAndre' Bembry 25 3-5 1-1 1-4 6 1 0 1 2 8 9 -
Mike Muscala 24 2-8 0-4 2-2 5 0 2 0 2 6 3 -
Tyler Dorsey 22 4-10 3-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 11 3 -
Isaiah Taylor 22 7-10 0-2 3-4 0 6 2 0 2 17 13 -
Miles Plumlee 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 1 4 4 -
Andrew White III 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanović * 31 4-9 0-3 4-4 3 1 1 0 3 12 5 -
Thaddeus Young * 31 9-16 2-4 0-0 4 1 5 1 3 20 12 -
Victor Oladipo * 28 5-16 2-6 2-2 7 9 4 1 2 14 17 -
Cory Joseph * 25 7-13 0-1 1-2 4 4 4 0 2 15 12 -
Myles Turner * 22 3-8 1-3 0-0 8 2 0 1 2 7 8 -
Domantas Sabonis 30 9-13 1-2 2-3 13 3 0 0 1 21 23 -
Lance Stephenson 26 6-12 1-5 0-0 8 8 2 0 1 13 18 -
Joe Young 22 2-7 2-3 0-0 8 1 1 0 2 6 7 -
Glenn Robinson III 18 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
T.J. Leaf 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Trey McKinney-Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Alex Poythress 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter