Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | -2.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (102-99). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 34 | 11-21 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Anderson * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Danny Green * | 28 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Davis Bertans | 24 | 4-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Patty Mills | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Bryn Forbes | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Dejounte Murray | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Joffrey Lauvergne | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Paul | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schröder * | 33 | 10-20 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 28 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Taurean Prince * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Miles Plumlee * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| John Collins | 22 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 21 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Malcolm Delaney | 19 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Dorsey | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mike Muscala | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter