Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✓ (27.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -29 (86-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 27 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 23 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Rodney McGruder * | 20 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 27 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 23 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 22 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Bam Adebayo | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Mickey | 7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Derrick Walton Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Collins * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Taurean Prince * | 24 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Damion Lee * | 22 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Taylor * | 19 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Tyler Dorsey | 25 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Mike Muscala | 20 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Magette | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Antonius Cleveland | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Andrew White III | 9 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tyler Cavanaugh | 9 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter