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Wisconsin

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Wisconsin Badgers, Wisconsin
Program History
Coach: Greg Gard

2023 Team Stats (35 games)

65.3
PPG
63.6
Opp
+1.7
Margin
41.4%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
69.1%
FT%
31.7
RPG
11.6
APG
8.6
TO
64.3
Est. poss./game
68.1
Adj PPG
59.3
Adj Opp PPG
#66
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1196 (#51) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1146 (#74) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More → 1038 (#120) HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +9.8 (#61) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +10.3 (#57) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.575 (#141) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.6 More → 0.575 (#141) NetEff +2.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.0 More → 0.850 (#61) AdjNet +15.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.2 More → 0.852 (#60) AdjNet +15.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 59.3 More → 0.690 (#66) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 59.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 61.8 More → 0.627 (#68) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 61.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.732 (#64) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.721 (#59) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 88 | GP 35 More → 1151 (#72) RD 88 | GP 35

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-07 vs South Dakota Coyotes W 85 - 59
2022-11-11 vs Stanford Cardinal W 60 - 50
2022-11-15 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 56 - 45
2022-11-23 @ Dayton Flyers W 43 - 42
2022-11-24 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 68 - 69
2022-11-25 vs USC Trojans W 64 - 59
2022-11-29 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 75 - 78
2022-12-03 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 80 - 77
2022-12-06 vs Maryland Terrapins W 64 - 59
2022-12-11 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 78 - 75
2022-12-15 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 78 - 56
2022-12-23 vs Grambling Tigers - Preview
2022-12-30 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 76 - 66
2023-01-03 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 63 - 60
2023-01-07 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 69 - 79
2023-01-10 vs Michigan State Spartans L 65 - 69
2023-01-14 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 45 - 63
2023-01-17 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 63 - 60
2023-01-21 @ Northwestern Wildcats - Preview
2023-01-23 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 63 - 66
2023-01-25 @ Maryland Terrapins L 55 - 73
2023-01-28 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 51 - 61
2023-02-02 @ Ohio State Buckeyes W 65 - 60
2023-02-05 vs Northwestern Wildcats L 52 - 54
2023-02-08 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 79 - 74
2023-02-11 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 63 - 73
2023-02-14 vs Michigan Wolverines W 64 - 59
2023-02-18 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 57 - 58
2023-02-22 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 64 - 52
2023-02-26 @ Michigan Wolverines L 79 - 87
2023-03-02 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 61 - 63
2023-03-05 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 71 - 67
2023-03-08 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 57 - 65
2023-03-14 vs Bradley Braves W 81 - 62
2023-03-19 vs Liberty Flames W 75 - 71
2023-03-21 @ Oregon Ducks W 61 - 58
2023-03-28 @ North Texas Mean Green L 54 - 56

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chucky Hepburn Chucky Hepburn - 35 32.0 12.2 2.8 2.8 1.5 0.1 1.5 11.5 6.4 89 34 2.6 3.3 37.7 40.5 71.8 2.63 48.9 46.2
Steven Crowl Steven Crowl - 35 30.6 12.1 6.9 2.5 0.3 0.5 1.6 9.7 11.1 59 34 1.7 2.3 51.0 30.7 63.4 1.73 56.7 55.0
Connor Essegian Connor Essegian G 35 27.4 11.7 3.7 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.0 9.4 6.4 -5 34 -0.1 -0.2 40.4 35.9 88.4 0.75 56.0 50.9
Tyler Wahl Tyler Wahl - 32 31.4 11.3 6.3 2.5 1.2 0.4 2.2 9.9 9.6 64 31 2.1 2.6 42.3 29.4 63.4 1.62 48.2 43.8
Max Klesmit Max Klesmit - 33 32.0 8.4 2.7 1.4 1.2 0.2 1.0 6.5 6.3 56 32 1.8 2.2 42.3 38.3 69.6 0.2 56.2 53.0
Jordan Davis Jordan Davis G 35 20.5 5.1 3.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 4.9 4.3 72 34 2.1 4.2 39.9 30.8 60.0 1.29 49.8 49.1
Carter Gilmore Carter Gilmore - 35 18.9 2.6 2.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.3 2.6 3.8 9 34 0.3 0.6 40.7 19.2 44.4 -1.07 44.2 43.4
Markus Ilver Markus Ilver - 18 6.6 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.1 0.6 -21 17 -1.2 -7.2 29.7 23.8 100.0 -3.94 38.3 36.5
Isaac Lindsey Isaac Lindsey - 24 5.9 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.7 0.7 -34 23 -1.5 -10.2 31.7 33.3 50.0 -3.22 41.8 41.5
Kamari Mcgee Kamari Mcgee - 31 7.3 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.6 0.8 5 31 0.2 0.9 28.0 18.5 87.5 0.5 37.4 33.0
Jahcobi Neath Jahcobi Neath G 3 9.0 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.0 - - - - 25.0 50.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Ross Candelino Ross Candelino - 5 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0.0 -2.45 82.0 100.0
Chris Hodges Chris Hodges - 14 2.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 -4 13 -0.3 -5.3 33.3 0 0 -1.17 33.3 33.3
Isaac Gard Isaac Gard - 5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -2.45 0.0 0.0
Luke Haertle Luke Haertle G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Justin Taphorn Justin Taphorn - 5 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.69 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2022-2023 Shot Zones

363 located field-goal attempts in 6 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Crowl31% Crowl41% Hepburn100% Essegian50% Hepburn50% Hepburn50% Hepburn27% Essegian60% Hepburn33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Wahl34% Crowl35% Hepburn55% Hepburn50% Essegian29% Essegian33% Essegian44% Hepburn21% Crowl33% Hepburn47%
Misses: who misses most here

Steven CrowlChucky HepburnConnor EssegianTyler Wahl

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 62-109 56.9 124 Steven Crowl 31% (38 pts) Tyler Wahl 19% (24 pts) Tyler Wahl 34% (16 misses) Chucky Hepburn 19% (9 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 29-86 33.7 58 Steven Crowl 41% (24 pts) Chucky Hepburn 10% (6 pts) Steven Crowl 35% (20 misses) Chucky Hepburn 18% (10 misses)
Mid-range left 0-11 0.0 0 - - Chucky Hepburn 55% (6 misses) Steven Crowl 18% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 1-7 14.3 2 Chucky Hepburn 100% (2 pts) - Chucky Hepburn 50% (3 misses) Max Klesmit 33% (2 misses)
Mid-range right 4-11 36.4 8 Connor Essegian 50% (4 pts) Kamari Mcgee 25% (2 pts) Connor Essegian 29% (2 misses) Steven Crowl 29% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 4-13 30.8 12 Chucky Hepburn 50% (6 pts) Connor Essegian 25% (3 pts) Connor Essegian 33% (3 misses) Jordan Davis 22% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 4-13 30.8 12 Chucky Hepburn 50% (6 pts) Max Klesmit 50% (6 pts) Connor Essegian 44% (4 misses) Chucky Hepburn 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 11-53 20.8 33 Chucky Hepburn 27% (9 pts) Connor Essegian 18% (6 pts) Chucky Hepburn 21% (9 misses) Connor Essegian 19% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 center 5-23 21.7 15 Connor Essegian 60% (9 pts) Max Klesmit 20% (3 pts) Steven Crowl 33% (6 misses) Max Klesmit 22% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 right 18-37 48.6 54 Chucky Hepburn 33% (18 pts) Connor Essegian 22% (12 pts) Chucky Hepburn 47% (9 misses) Max Klesmit 26% (5 misses)