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2023-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Penn State Nittany Lions Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 45.7% 54.3% -0.8 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—
Margin 48.5% 51.5% +0.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 56.4% 43.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +3 (63-60). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Pickett * 40 8-15 1-3 2-4 12 6 0 0 3 19 19 -
Andrew Funk * 38 4-11 3-8 5-5 2 1 0 0 0 16 8 -
Camren Wynter * 24 2-6 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Seth Lundy * 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 -
Kebba Njie * 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 0 1 -
Myles Dread 28 4-7 3-6 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 11 10 -
Evan Mahaffey 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 6 7 -
Kanye Clary 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chucky Hepburn * 35 3-7 2-2 5-6 0 3 1 0 3 13 7 -
Steven Crowl * 34 9-16 1-3 2-4 11 2 0 0 1 21 17 -
Connor Essegian * 33 4-7 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 10 7 -
Tyler Wahl * 32 3-10 1-1 3-6 5 2 1 1 1 10 8 -
Max Klesmit * 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Jordan Davis 29 2-7 0-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Carter Gilmore 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
Isaac Lindsey 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Kamari McGee 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter