Minnesota
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1133 (#93) | Preseason prior 1080 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1009, returning +67, transfers -73, freshmen +76 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1106 (#88) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1104 (#85) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +9.9 (#82) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +9.8 (#82) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.871 (#59) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.760 (#64) | AdjNet +18.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.768 (#65) | AdjNet +18.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.687 (#67) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 61.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.684 (#67) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 61.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.734 (#74) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.734 (#74) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1153 (#79) | RD 172 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.662 (#92) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | W | 85 - 50 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | St. Thomas Tommies | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2026-11-09 | @ | Cincinnati Bearcats | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2026-11-12 | vs | Southern Jaguars | W | 91 - 61 |
| 2026-11-16 | vs | Western Illinois Leathernecks | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Oklahoma State Cowboys | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Isaac Asuma
|
G | 4 | 33.5 | 16.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 10.5 | 14.8 | 88 | 4 | 22.0 | 26.6 | 57.1 | 47.6 | 66.7 | 2.98 | 69.8 | 69.0 |
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson
|
F | 4 | 25.2 | 13.0 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 8.8 | 35 | 4 | 8.8 | 14.0 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 92.3 | 0.45 | 56.9 | 50.0 |
Kyan Evans
|
G | 4 | 32.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.8 | 10.5 | 62 | 4 | 15.5 | 19.3 | 41.9 | 31.6 | 60.0 | 1.73 | 50.6 | 48.8 |
Bobby Durkin
|
F | 4 | 31.2 | 10.2 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 53 | 4 | 13.2 | 17.1 | 46.4 | 39.1 | 100.0 | 0.45 | 66.9 | 62.5 |
Grayson Grove
|
F | 4 | 23.0 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 35 | 4 | 8.8 | 15.1 | 58.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.5 | 61.6 | 62.5 |
Nolan Groves
|
G | 4 | 21.8 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 6.2 | 8.0 | 66 | 4 | 16.5 | 30.7 | 44.0 | 41.7 | 66.7 | 1.42 | 56.1 | 54.0 |
Kai Shinholster
|
G | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 13 | 1 | 13.0 | 25.8 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.69 | 87.5 | 87.5 |
Malick Kordel
|
C | 4 | 13.0 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 32 | 4 | 8.0 | 24.2 | 64.7 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.09 | 61.3 | 64.7 |
Winters Grady
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.89 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Nolen Anderson
|
F | 2 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 11.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.14 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
Malachi Palmer
|
G | 4 | 9.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 20 | 4 | 5.0 | 20.3 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.56 | 34.0 | 20.0 |
Cedric Tomes
|
G | 3 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | -1 | 3 | -0.3 | -3.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.42 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Max Lorenson
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0 | 0 |
Chadrack Mpoyi
|
C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Blake Nixon Jr.
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Minnesota players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Minnesota game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamison Battle | 2021-23 | NBA | Toronto Raptors | 12 | 19.3 | 9.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 11-12 13 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast | 12 GP, 9.7 PPG, 1.5 RPG, 0.5 APG |
| Cam Christie | 2023-24 | NBA | LA Clippers | 5 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 11-08 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 5 GP, 1.4 PPG, 0.4 RPG, 0.2 APG |
| Marcus Carr | 2019-21 | EuroLeague | Virtus Bologna | 11 | 21.8 | 12.1 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11-13 11 pts, 2 reb, 6 ast | 5 GP, 9.0 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 4.0 APG |
| Amir Coffey | 2016-19 | EuroLeague | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 7 | 23.2 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 11-12 13 pts, 1 reb, 0 ast | 5 GP, 5.2 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 0.6 APG |
| Dawson Garcia | 2022-25 | G League | Motor City Cruise | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-13 10 pts, 9 reb, 1 ast Play-In | 2 GP, 15.0 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Liam Robbins | 2020-21 | G League | Westchester Knicks | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-14 3 pts, 6 reb, 2 ast Play-In | 3 GP, 4.3 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 1.7 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Liam Robbins | G League Play-In | Westchester Knicks | vs Greensboro Swarm | 20 | 3 | 6 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Marcus Carr | EuroLeague | Virtus Bologna | @ Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Dawson Garcia | G League Play-In | Motor City Cruise | vs Noblesville Boom | 30 | 10 | 9 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Jamison Battle | NBA | Toronto Raptors | @ Philadelphia 76ers | 25 | 13 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Amir Coffey | EuroLeague | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | @ Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv | 33 | 13 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Jamison Battle | NBA | Toronto Raptors | vs Boston Celtics | 25 | 12 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Dawson Garcia | G League Play-In | Motor City Cruise | @ Cleveland Charge | 26 | 20 | 9 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Jamison Battle | NBA | Toronto Raptors | vs Memphis Grizzlies | 29 | 18 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Liam Robbins | G League Play-In | Westchester Knicks | @ Maine Celtics | 18 | 8 | 8 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Cam Christie | NBA | LA Clippers | vs New Orleans Pelicans | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Marcus Carr | EuroLeague | Virtus Bologna | vs Dubai Basketball | 21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Liam Robbins | G League Play-In | Westchester Knicks | @ Maine Celtics | 19 | 2 | 6 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Amir Coffey | EuroLeague | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | vs FC Barcelona | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-01 | Cam Christie | NBA | LA Clippers | @ Golden State Warriors | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Marcus Carr | EuroLeague | Virtus Bologna | vs Besiktas Istanbul | 23 | 11 | 3 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Cam Christie | NBA | LA Clippers | @ Minnesota Timberwolves | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Amir Coffey | EuroLeague | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | @ Dubai Basketball | 18 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
233 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Isaac AsumaKyan EvansJaylen Crocker-JohnsonBobby DurkinGrayson GroveMalachi Palmer
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 50-76 | 65.8 | 100 | Grayson Grove 20% (20 pts) | Malick Kordel 20% (20 pts) | Grayson Grove 19% (5 misses) | Kyan Evans 19% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 19-37 | 51.4 | 38 | Isaac Asuma 32% (12 pts) | Kyan Evans 32% (12 pts) | Kyan Evans 33% (6 misses) | Jaylen Crocker-Johnson 28% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-3 | 33.3 | 2 | Malachi Palmer 100% (2 pts) | - | Bobby Durkin 50% (1 misses) | Jaylen Crocker-Johnson 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-3 | 66.7 | 4 | Isaac Asuma 50% (2 pts) | Nolan Groves 50% (2 pts) | Kyan Evans 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Isaac Asuma 67% (2 misses) | Nolan Groves 33% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 10-13 | 76.9 | 30 | Jaylen Crocker-Johnson 30% (9 pts) | Nolan Groves 30% (9 pts) | Jaylen Crocker-Johnson 33% (1 misses) | Kyan Evans 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-13 | 7.7 | 3 | Kyan Evans 100% (3 pts) | - | Jaylen Crocker-Johnson 33% (4 misses) | Bobby Durkin 17% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 16-35 | 45.7 | 48 | Isaac Asuma 38% (18 pts) | Bobby Durkin 19% (9 pts) | Jaylen Crocker-Johnson 32% (6 misses) | Kyan Evans 32% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 12-23 | 52.2 | 36 | Bobby Durkin 25% (9 pts) | Isaac Asuma 17% (6 pts) | Grayson Grove 27% (3 misses) | Jaylen Crocker-Johnson 27% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 3-27 | 11.1 | 9 | Bobby Durkin 67% (6 pts) | Jaylen Crocker-Johnson 33% (3 pts) | Isaac Asuma 33% (8 misses) | Bobby Durkin 25% (6 misses) |