Washington Wizards
2019 Team Stats (74 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 834 (#25) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 910 (#25) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 930 (#26) | HCA +47 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -3.3 (#25) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -3.9 (#25) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.428 (#25) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.261 (#27) | NetEff -9.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.423 (#25) | AdjNet -2.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.423 (#25) | AdjNet -2.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.427 (#25) | AdjO 112.9 | AdjD 116.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.429 (#25) | AdjO 112.7 | AdjD 115.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.382 (#26) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.382 (#25) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 916 (#24) | RD 267 | GP 82 |
2019 Schedule & Results
2019 Roster
Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bradley Beal
|
G | 74 | 36.4 | 25.1 | 4.9 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 19.2 | 15.4 | -214 | 82 | -2.6 | -2.2 | 47.4 | 34.8 | 81.0 | -0.21 | 58.2 | 53.9 |
John Wall
|
G | 31 | 34.5 | 20.8 | 3.7 | 8.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 17.3 | 14.5 | -189 | 32 | -5.9 | -5.2 | 44.4 | 30.9 | 69.8 | -0.71 | 52.8 | 49.1 |
Jabari Parker
|
- | 22 | 27.2 | 14.5 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 11.4 | 12.2 | -380 | 63 | -6.0 | -5.4 | 49.6 | 29.7 | 69.4 | -0.3 | 56.8 | 54.0 |
Bobby Portis
|
F | 25 | 27.9 | 14.4 | 8.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 12.7 | 11.7 | -279 | 49 | -5.7 | -5.2 | 44.0 | 40.2 | 80.0 | -0.65 | 53.1 | 50.8 |
Trevor Ariza
|
F | 36 | 34.0 | 14.2 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 11.9 | 11.6 | -444 | 69 | -6.4 | -5.7 | 41.2 | 32.4 | 81.1 | -0.99 | 54.5 | 50.8 |
Kelly Oubre Jr.
|
F | 28 | 25.9 | 13.0 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 10.5 | 8.2 | -475 | 68 | -7.0 | -6.0 | 43.3 | 31.5 | 80.0 | -0.79 | 54.9 | 50.3 |
Dwight Howard
|
C | 9 | 25.5 | 12.8 | 9.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 7.7 | 14.2 | -50 | 9 | -5.6 | -5.6 | 62.3 | 0 | 60.4 | -0.28 | 63.8 | 62.3 |
Otto Porter Jr.
|
F | 38 | 29.1 | 12.6 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 10.7 | 10.6 | -161 | 56 | -2.9 | -2.6 | 45.8 | 36.9 | 75.8 | 0.07 | 55.0 | 53.0 |
| Jeff Green | F | 69 | 26.8 | 12.1 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 8.8 | -307 | 77 | -4.0 | -3.7 | 46.9 | 33.0 | 87.8 | -0.83 | 59.6 | 54.5 |
Markieff Morris
|
F | 32 | 25.9 | 11.1 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 9.4 | 8.8 | -168 | 57 | -2.9 | -2.8 | 42.4 | 32.4 | 78.9 | -0.75 | 53.4 | 49.7 |
Thomas Bryant
|
C | 64 | 20.5 | 10.2 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 6.8 | 11.3 | -152 | 71 | -2.1 | -2.2 | 60.7 | 32.9 | 77.4 | -0.25 | 66.6 | 63.9 |
Tomas Satoransky
|
G | 72 | 26.3 | 9.0 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.4 | 10.4 | -186 | 80 | -2.3 | -2.2 | 50.4 | 41.4 | 82.5 | -0.2 | 61.3 | 56.9 |
Austin Rivers
|
G | 28 | 23.2 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 6.6 | 4.5 | 239 | 75 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 38.6 | 30.0 | 55.8 | 0.61 | 48.3 | 46.7 |
| Devin Robinson | - | 7 | 13.5 | 6.7 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 4.6 | 7.0 | -9 | 7 | -1.3 | -2.3 | 59.4 | 0.0 | 64.3 | -0.05 | 61.6 | 59.4 |
| Sam Dekker | - | 31 | 16.3 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 5.8 | 4.6 | -29 | 46 | -0.6 | -0.7 | 46.4 | 30.2 | 63.0 | 0.43 | 51.3 | 50.0 |
Chasson Randle
|
G | 44 | 15.0 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 4.0 | -113 | 49 | -2.3 | -2.5 | 41.8 | 39.8 | 72.2 | -0.17 | 55.6 | 52.3 |
| Jordan McRae | - | 25 | 11.9 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 4.6 | 3.5 | -78 | 24 | -3.2 | -4.6 | 44.3 | 19.4 | 78.1 | -0.32 | 51.5 | 47.0 |
Troy Brown Jr.
|
F | 46 | 14.2 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 10 | 49 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 40.2 | 32.8 | 70.0 | 0.41 | 47.6 | 44.9 |
Ian Mahinmi
|
C | 31 | 14.7 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 6.5 | -94 | 34 | -2.8 | -3.5 | 44.4 | 18.8 | 68.9 | -0.42 | 52.8 | 46.0 |
| Jason Smith | C | 12 | 10.8 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 4.6 | -20 | 20 | -1.0 | -1.9 | 40.5 | 40.0 | 83.3 | -0.05 | 52.0 | 45.9 |
| Wesley Johnson | - | 12 | 13.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 1.6 | -92 | 37 | -2.5 | -3.6 | 25.0 | 23.1 | 70.0 | -0.52 | 37.2 | 32.5 |
| John Jenkins | - | 4 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -115 | 24 | -4.8 | -6.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.12 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Ron Baker | - | 3 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | -0.7 | -26 | 14 | -1.9 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gary Payton II
|
- | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Okaro White | - | 3 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2018-2019 Shot Zones
4174 located field-goal attempts in 46 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Bradley BealTrevor ArizaJeff Green
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 963-1422 | 67.7 | 1926 | Bradley Beal 21% (412 pts) | Thomas Bryant 17% (326 pts) | Bradley Beal 22% (101 misses) | Trevor Ariza 10% (48 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 202-531 | 38.0 | 404 | Bradley Beal 20% (80 pts) | Tomas Satoransky 14% (58 pts) | Bradley Beal 16% (52 misses) | Tomas Satoransky 13% (43 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 93-237 | 39.2 | 186 | Bradley Beal 37% (68 pts) | Thomas Bryant 11% (20 pts) | Bradley Beal 33% (47 misses) | Jeff Green 11% (16 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 58-146 | 39.7 | 116 | Bradley Beal 38% (44 pts) | Thomas Bryant 17% (20 pts) | Bradley Beal 27% (24 misses) | Troy Brown Jr. 11% (10 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 99-281 | 35.2 | 198 | Bradley Beal 23% (46 pts) | Jeff Green 17% (34 pts) | Bradley Beal 23% (42 misses) | Jeff Green 12% (22 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 51-169 | 30.2 | 153 | Bradley Beal 24% (36 pts) | Trevor Ariza 22% (33 pts) | Jeff Green 19% (22 misses) | Trevor Ariza 17% (20 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 66-178 | 37.1 | 198 | Trevor Ariza 30% (60 pts) | Jeff Green 14% (27 pts) | Trevor Ariza 23% (26 misses) | Jeff Green 17% (19 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 152-473 | 32.1 | 456 | Bradley Beal 31% (141 pts) | Trevor Ariza 14% (63 pts) | Bradley Beal 30% (95 misses) | Jeff Green 15% (47 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 98-250 | 39.2 | 294 | Bradley Beal 33% (96 pts) | Bobby Portis 15% (45 pts) | Bradley Beal 32% (48 misses) | Bobby Portis 11% (17 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 173-487 | 35.5 | 519 | Bradley Beal 17% (87 pts) | Jeff Green 15% (78 pts) | Trevor Ariza 22% (70 misses) | Bradley Beal 20% (62 misses) |