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Washington Wizards

Also known as: Washington Wizards
Program History

2019 Team Stats (74 games)

113.3
PPG
116.9
Opp
-3.6
Margin
46.5%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
77.1%
FT%
42.2
RPG
25.8
APG
13.7
TO
104.5
Est. poss./game
112.9
Adj PPG
116.1
Adj Opp PPG
#25
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 834 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 910 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +47 elo More โ†’ 930 (#26) HCA +47 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -3.3 (#25) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -3.9 (#25) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.428 (#25) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -9.7 More โ†’ 0.261 (#27) NetEff -9.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.7 More โ†’ 0.423 (#25) AdjNet -2.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.7 More โ†’ 0.423 (#25) AdjNet -2.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 112.9 | AdjD 116.1 More โ†’ 0.427 (#25) AdjO 112.9 | AdjD 116.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 112.7 | AdjD 115.8 More โ†’ 0.429 (#25) AdjO 112.7 | AdjD 115.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.382 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.382 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 267 | GP 82 More โ†’ 916 (#24) RD 267 | GP 82

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-10-18 vs Miami Heat L 112 - 113
2018-10-20 vs Toronto Raptors L 113 - 117
2018-10-22 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 125 - 124
2018-10-24 @ Golden State Warriors L 122 - 144
2018-10-26 @ Sacramento Kings L 112 - 116
2018-10-28 @ LA Clippers L 104 - 136
2018-10-30 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 95 - 107
2018-11-02 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 111 - 134
2018-11-04 vs New York Knicks W 108 - 95
2018-11-06 @ Dallas Mavericks L 100 - 119
2018-11-09 @ Orlando Magic L 108 - 117
2018-11-10 @ Miami Heat W 116 - 110
2018-11-12 vs Orlando Magic W 117 - 109
2018-11-14 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 119 - 95
2018-11-16 vs Brooklyn Nets L 104 - 115
2018-11-18 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 109 - 119
2018-11-20 vs LA Clippers W 125 - 118
2018-11-23 @ Toronto Raptors L 107 - 125
2018-11-24 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 124 - 114
2018-11-26 vs Houston Rockets W 135 - 131
2018-11-28 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 104 - 125
2018-11-30 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 98 - 123
2018-12-01 vs Brooklyn Nets W 102 - 88
2018-12-03 @ New York Knicks W 110 - 107
2018-12-05 @ Atlanta Hawks W 131 - 117
2018-12-08 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 101 - 116
2018-12-10 @ Indiana Pacers L 101 - 109
2018-12-12 vs Boston Celtics L 125 - 130
2018-12-16 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 128 - 110
2018-12-18 @ Atlanta Hawks L 110 - 118
2018-12-19 @ Houston Rockets L 118 - 136
2018-12-22 vs Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2018-12-23 @ Indiana Pacers L 89 - 105
2018-12-26 @ Detroit Pistons L 95 - 106
2018-12-28 vs Chicago Bulls L 92 - 101
2018-12-29 vs Charlotte Hornets W 130 - 126
2019-01-02 vs Atlanta Hawks W 114 - 98
2019-01-04 @ Miami Heat L 109 - 115
2019-01-06 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 116 - 98
2019-01-08 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 115 - 132
2019-01-09 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 123 - 106
2019-01-11 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 113 - 106
2019-01-13 vs Toronto Raptors - Incomplete score
2019-01-17 vs New York Knicks W 101 - 100
2019-01-21 vs Detroit Pistons W 101 - 87
2019-01-24 vs Golden State Warriors L 118 - 126
2019-01-25 @ Orlando Magic W 95 - 91
2019-01-27 @ San Antonio Spurs L 119 - 132
2019-02-02 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 115 - 131
2019-02-04 vs Atlanta Hawks L 129 - 137
2019-02-06 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 129 - 148
2019-02-08 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 119 - 106
2019-02-09 @ Chicago Bulls W 134 - 125
2019-02-11 @ Detroit Pistons L 112 - 121
2019-02-13 @ Toronto Raptors L 120 - 129
2019-02-22 @ Charlotte Hornets L 110 - 123
2019-02-23 vs Indiana Pacers L 112 - 119
2019-02-27 @ Brooklyn Nets W 125 - 116
2019-03-01 @ Boston Celtics L 96 - 107
2019-03-03 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 135 - 121
2019-03-09 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 130 - 135
2019-03-11 vs Sacramento Kings W 121 - 115
2019-03-15 vs Charlotte Hornets L 110 - 116
2019-03-16 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 135 - 128
2019-03-18 vs Utah Jazz L 95 - 116
2019-03-20 @ Chicago Bulls L 120 - 126
2019-03-21 vs Denver Nuggets L 108 - 113
2019-03-23 vs Miami Heat L 108 - 113
2019-03-26 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 106 - 124
2019-03-27 @ Phoenix Suns W 124 - 121
2019-03-29 @ Utah Jazz L 124 - 128
2019-03-31 @ Denver Nuggets W 95 - 90
2019-04-03 vs Chicago Bulls L 114 - 115
2019-04-05 vs San Antonio Spurs L 112 - 129
2019-04-07 @ New York Knicks L 110 - 113
2019-04-09 vs Boston Celtics L 110 - 116

2019 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bradley Beal Bradley Beal G 74 36.4 25.1 4.9 5.1 1.5 0.7 2.7 19.2 15.4 -214 82 -2.6 -2.2 47.4 34.8 81.0 -0.21 58.2 53.9
John Wall John Wall G 31 34.5 20.8 3.7 8.6 1.5 0.9 3.8 17.3 14.5 -189 32 -5.9 -5.2 44.4 30.9 69.8 -0.71 52.8 49.1
Jabari Parker Jabari Parker - 22 27.2 14.5 7.1 2.8 1.0 0.7 2.6 11.4 12.2 -380 63 -6.0 -5.4 49.6 29.7 69.4 -0.3 56.8 54.0
Bobby Portis Bobby Portis F 25 27.9 14.4 8.8 1.6 1.0 0.4 1.6 12.7 11.7 -279 49 -5.7 -5.2 44.0 40.2 80.0 -0.65 53.1 50.8
Trevor Ariza Trevor Ariza F 36 34.0 14.2 5.3 3.8 1.3 0.3 1.4 11.9 11.6 -444 69 -6.4 -5.7 41.2 32.4 81.1 -0.99 54.5 50.8
Kelly Oubre Jr. Kelly Oubre Jr. F 28 25.9 13.0 4.4 0.7 1.0 0.7 1.1 10.5 8.2 -475 68 -7.0 -6.0 43.3 31.5 80.0 -0.79 54.9 50.3
Dwight Howard Dwight Howard C 9 25.5 12.8 9.2 0.4 0.8 0.4 1.8 7.7 14.2 -50 9 -5.6 -5.6 62.3 0 60.4 -0.28 63.8 62.3
Otto Porter Jr. Otto Porter Jr. F 38 29.1 12.6 5.7 2.0 1.6 0.6 1.0 10.7 10.6 -161 56 -2.9 -2.6 45.8 36.9 75.8 0.07 55.0 53.0
Jeff Green F 69 26.8 12.1 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.5 1.3 9.0 8.8 -307 77 -4.0 -3.7 46.9 33.0 87.8 -0.83 59.6 54.5
Markieff Morris Markieff Morris F 32 25.9 11.1 5.2 1.7 0.8 0.6 1.2 9.4 8.8 -168 57 -2.9 -2.8 42.4 32.4 78.9 -0.75 53.4 49.7
Thomas Bryant Thomas Bryant C 64 20.5 10.2 6.2 1.3 0.3 0.9 0.8 6.8 11.3 -152 71 -2.1 -2.2 60.7 32.9 77.4 -0.25 66.6 63.9
Tomas Satoransky Tomas Satoransky G 72 26.3 9.0 3.3 4.9 1.1 0.2 1.5 6.4 10.4 -186 80 -2.3 -2.2 50.4 41.4 82.5 -0.2 61.3 56.9
Austin Rivers Austin Rivers G 28 23.2 7.0 2.4 2.0 0.6 0.4 1.3 6.6 4.5 239 75 3.2 2.8 38.6 30.0 55.8 0.61 48.3 46.7
Devin Robinson - 7 13.5 6.7 2.9 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.3 4.6 7.0 -9 7 -1.3 -2.3 59.4 0.0 64.3 -0.05 61.6 59.4
Sam Dekker - 31 16.3 6.3 2.7 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.5 5.8 4.6 -29 46 -0.6 -0.7 46.4 30.2 63.0 0.43 51.3 50.0
Chasson Randle Chasson Randle G 44 15.0 5.5 1.1 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.9 4.4 4.0 -113 49 -2.3 -2.5 41.8 39.8 72.2 -0.17 55.6 52.3
Jordan McRae - 25 11.9 5.3 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 4.6 3.5 -78 24 -3.2 -4.6 44.3 19.4 78.1 -0.32 51.5 47.0
Troy Brown Jr. Troy Brown Jr. F 46 14.2 4.6 2.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.6 4.4 4.4 10 49 0.2 0.3 40.2 32.8 70.0 0.41 47.6 44.9
Ian Mahinmi Ian Mahinmi C 31 14.7 4.3 3.9 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.6 3.2 6.5 -94 34 -2.8 -3.5 44.4 18.8 68.9 -0.42 52.8 46.0
Jason Smith C 12 10.8 3.7 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 3.1 4.6 -20 20 -1.0 -1.9 40.5 40.0 83.3 -0.05 52.0 45.9
Wesley Johnson - 12 13.1 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.5 3.3 1.6 -92 37 -2.5 -3.6 25.0 23.1 70.0 -0.52 37.2 32.5
John Jenkins - 4 3.6 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 -115 24 -4.8 -6.6 100.0 100.0 0 -0.12 150.0 150.0
Ron Baker - 3 10.5 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.3 -0.7 -26 14 -1.9 -3.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.01 0.0 0.0
Gary Payton II Gary Payton II - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Okaro White - 3 2.1 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2018-2019 Shot Zones

4174 located field-goal attempts in 46 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Beal21% Beal20% Beal37% Beal38% Beal23% Beal24% Ariza30% Beal31% Beal33% Beal17%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Beal22% Beal16% Beal33% Beal27% Beal23% Green19% Ariza23% Beal30% Beal32% Ariza22%
Misses: who misses most here

Bradley BealTrevor ArizaJeff Green

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 963-1422 67.7 1926 Bradley Beal 21% (412 pts) Thomas Bryant 17% (326 pts) Bradley Beal 22% (101 misses) Trevor Ariza 10% (48 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 202-531 38.0 404 Bradley Beal 20% (80 pts) Tomas Satoransky 14% (58 pts) Bradley Beal 16% (52 misses) Tomas Satoransky 13% (43 misses)
Mid-range left 93-237 39.2 186 Bradley Beal 37% (68 pts) Thomas Bryant 11% (20 pts) Bradley Beal 33% (47 misses) Jeff Green 11% (16 misses)
Mid-range center 58-146 39.7 116 Bradley Beal 38% (44 pts) Thomas Bryant 17% (20 pts) Bradley Beal 27% (24 misses) Troy Brown Jr. 11% (10 misses)
Mid-range right 99-281 35.2 198 Bradley Beal 23% (46 pts) Jeff Green 17% (34 pts) Bradley Beal 23% (42 misses) Jeff Green 12% (22 misses)
Left corner 3 51-169 30.2 153 Bradley Beal 24% (36 pts) Trevor Ariza 22% (33 pts) Jeff Green 19% (22 misses) Trevor Ariza 17% (20 misses)
Right corner 3 66-178 37.1 198 Trevor Ariza 30% (60 pts) Jeff Green 14% (27 pts) Trevor Ariza 23% (26 misses) Jeff Green 17% (19 misses)
Above-break 3 left 152-473 32.1 456 Bradley Beal 31% (141 pts) Trevor Ariza 14% (63 pts) Bradley Beal 30% (95 misses) Jeff Green 15% (47 misses)
Above-break 3 center 98-250 39.2 294 Bradley Beal 33% (96 pts) Bobby Portis 15% (45 pts) Bradley Beal 32% (48 misses) Bobby Portis 11% (17 misses)
Above-break 3 right 173-487 35.5 519 Bradley Beal 17% (87 pts) Jeff Green 15% (78 pts) Trevor Ariza 22% (70 misses) Bradley Beal 20% (62 misses)