Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.3% | 90.7% | +12.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +9 (129-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 43 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 14-15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 39 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 32 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Thomas Bryant * | 19 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Chasson Randle * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jabari Parker | 34 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 28 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Wesley Johnson | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jordan McRae | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 34 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 32 | 15-25 | 4-5 | 10-12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 44 | 30 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Danny Green * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| OG Anunoby | 35 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Jeremy Lin | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Marc Gasol | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Chris Boucher | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Loyd | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter