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2019-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 55.3% 44.7% -1.0 ✗ (8.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% - ✓
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 ✓ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 49.7% 50.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 49.7% 50.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 45.9% 54.1% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards +7 (135-128). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Conley * 34 8-15 3-7 9-11 3 12 0 0 1 28 27 -
Avery Bradley * 33 9-17 3-9 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 21 9 -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 28 10-17 0-0 2-2 8 3 0 1 2 22 15 -
Justin Holiday * 28 3-7 1-2 2-2 4 4 1 0 0 9 11 -
Bruno Caboclo * 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 3 5 -
Joakim Noah 26 6-8 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 1 2 15 15 -
Delon Wright 24 2-5 0-2 1-2 1 3 1 0 0 5 5 -
Chandler Parsons 22 6-10 2-6 2-3 6 5 1 0 0 16 18 -
Ivan Rabb 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Tyler Dorsey 11 2-4 2-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 7 7 -
CJ Miles 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 38 12-17 9-12 7-9 5 7 2 0 1 40 36 -
Tomas Satoransky * 37 3-10 0-0 9-9 6 7 1 1 1 15 19 -
Jeff Green * 32 6-9 3-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 15 9 -
Trevor Ariza * 25 3-8 1-5 1-2 4 1 1 2 1 8 7 -
Bobby Portis * 23 7-11 3-5 1-2 6 2 1 1 2 18 15 -
Jabari Parker 29 6-13 1-3 7-9 11 2 1 1 5 20 17 -
Troy Brown Jr. 20 2-5 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 0 0 5 7 -
Thomas Bryant 19 1-5 0-2 8-8 7 2 0 2 0 10 16 -
Chasson Randle 11 1-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

* = starter