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2018-12-26

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% +3.8 โœ“ (7.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 32.7% 67.3% - โœ“
Margin 29.2% 70.8% +4.9 โœ“ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +11 (106-95). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 44 10-23 1-7 0-0 4 1 2 2 2 21 5 -
Trevor Ariza * 38 5-14 5-10 1-1 5 1 3 0 1 16 10 -
John Wall * 37 9-19 2-7 1-1 7 8 0 1 6 21 12 -
Thomas Bryant * 13 3-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 7 6 -
Jeff Green * 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
Markieff Morris 36 4-12 1-6 3-4 6 2 2 0 1 12 9 -
Ian Mahinmi 27 4-5 0-0 2-3 5 1 3 1 2 10 13 -
Tomas Satoransky 21 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 2 1 -
Chasson Randle 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
Troy Brown Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 35 6-11 0-0 4-4 11 4 3 2 4 16 21 -
Blake Griffin * 34 9-19 4-9 1-1 9 6 2 1 4 23 18 -
Reggie Bullock Jr. * 32 1-6 1-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 5 5 -
Reggie Jackson * 29 5-13 3-7 6-6 4 6 1 0 8 19 9 -
Bruce Brown * 22 3-7 1-3 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
Langston Galloway 23 8-12 4-7 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 22 14 -
Jose Calderon 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 0 -
Stanley Johnson 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
Jon Leuer 13 1-2 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 1 2 3 2 -
Zaza Pachulia 12 2-3 0-1 1-1 5 2 0 0 2 5 7 -

* = starter