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2018-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% +8.5 ✓ (0.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 31.0% 69.0% - ✓
Margin 25.4% 74.6% +5.9 ✓ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 38.1% 61.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.4% 63.6% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic +9 (117-108). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Wall * 42 9-21 0-3 1-2 7 12 2 1 3 19 17 -
Bradley Beal * 41 10-21 4-9 3-4 4 6 2 1 3 27 16 -
Markieff Morris * 26 3-8 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 7 4 -
Dwight Howard * 26 6-8 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 0 4 12 8 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 23 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 8 6 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 25 6-10 2-5 5-6 4 0 2 0 0 19 15 -
Jeff Green 24 4-5 2-3 4-4 3 0 0 1 0 14 13 -
Austin Rivers 23 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 3 2 0 -
Tomas Satoransky 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 42 6-14 3-4 5-6 7 4 0 0 0 20 17 -
Evan Fournier * 36 6-17 3-10 0-0 4 6 2 1 3 15 8 -
Nikola Vučević * 30 10-16 1-2 0-0 14 3 1 2 2 21 23 -
D.J. Augustin * 25 2-5 2-5 5-6 2 4 1 0 2 11 11 -
Wes Iwundu * 14 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
Terrence Ross 29 5-11 1-5 1-2 7 3 2 0 4 12 9 -
Jerian Grant 22 5-5 2-2 1-1 3 2 1 1 1 13 14 -
Mo Bamba 17 7-8 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 2 1 15 13 -
Jonathon Simmons 14 2-6 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 6 2 -
Jarell Martin 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter