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2019-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% +8.8 ✗ (13.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 18.4% 81.6% - ✗
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 ✗ (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% - ✗
Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 23.9% 76.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 23.9% 76.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 27.9% 72.1% - ✗

Actual: Denver Nuggets -5 (90-95). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Brown Jr. * 42 9-16 5-7 1-1 7 1 1 0 0 24 17 -
Thomas Bryant * 39 9-16 0-2 2-3 14 3 0 3 1 20 23 -
Tomas Satoransky * 36 1-6 0-1 3-4 6 5 1 0 2 5 9 -
Bradley Beal * 36 6-16 0-4 5-5 3 6 3 0 2 17 11 -
Bobby Portis * 22 1-9 0-3 0-0 9 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jabari Parker 31 8-16 1-5 3-6 6 1 3 1 3 20 12 -
Jordan McRae 20 3-9 0-2 1-1 6 7 1 1 2 7 11 -
Chasson Randle 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Wesley Johnson 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Harris * 34 4-13 1-7 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 9 -3 -
Paul Millsap * 31 3-13 0-1 7-9 15 3 0 0 1 13 17 -
Nikola Jokić * 30 11-15 0-2 1-3 14 4 2 1 2 23 27 -
Will Barton * 29 4-15 2-10 0-1 4 4 0 2 1 10 4 -
Jamal Murray * 21 4-8 2-5 2-2 2 2 0 1 1 12 8 -
Monté Morris 26 2-8 1-4 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 5 0 -
Mason Plumlee 25 4-7 0-0 1-1 11 2 0 1 3 9 13 -
Malik Beasley 18 2-10 1-5 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
Torrey Craig 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Trey Lyles 9 1-4 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter