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2018-10-24

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 4.6% 95.4% +12.6 โœ“ (9.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Margin 9.0% 91.0% +12.7 โœ“ (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.8% 76.2% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +22 (144-122). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Wall * 27 5-12 1-5 2-4 2 6 0 0 4 13 5 -
Markieff Morris * 23 6-10 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 14 10 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 23 5-9 2-6 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 12 6 -
Bradley Beal * 19 10-15 1-4 2-2 3 4 1 0 0 23 16 -
Jason Smith * 10 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 4 7 -
Austin Rivers 29 3-10 3-9 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 9 1 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 29 5-10 3-6 4-4 4 0 0 0 3 17 8 -
Jeff Green 28 3-6 0-2 4-4 3 1 2 0 1 10 9 -
Tomas Satoransky 20 0-3 0-2 8-8 2 4 0 0 1 8 10 -
Jordan McRae 12 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Thomas Bryant 9 1-5 0-2 4-4 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Troy Brown Jr. 6 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 31 15-24 11-16 10-10 4 3 0 1 2 51 33 -
Kevin Durant * 31 13-18 1-3 3-3 8 7 1 1 3 30 26 -
Klay Thompson * 29 8-17 1-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 19 5 -
Draymond Green * 28 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 12 1 0 5 5 15 -
Damian Jones * 11 1-1 0-0 3-4 3 2 0 0 0 5 9 -
Andre Iguodala 25 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
Jordan Bell 20 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 2 1 8 11 -
Jonas Jerebko 15 2-6 0-2 1-2 3 3 1 0 0 5 6 -
Shaun Livingston 15 3-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
Kevon Looney 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 3 0 1 0 2 10 -
Quinn Cook 6 3-6 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 7 2 -
Alfonzo McKinnie 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Jacob Evans 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter