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2018-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 59.3% 40.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.9% 48.1% - โœ—
Margin 46.3% 53.7% +0.8 โœ“ (17.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 52.7% 47.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Wizards +18 (128-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 34 4-11 2-7 0-0 5 4 3 2 4 10 9 -
LeBron James * 32 5-16 0-2 3-6 6 3 0 1 4 13 3 -
Kyle Kuzma * 28 9-15 0-4 2-2 6 3 1 1 6 20 10 -
Josh Hart * 20 2-10 0-5 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 4 -5 -
Tyson Chandler * 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 1 1 2 8 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 27 9-12 4-6 3-3 6 5 1 0 0 25 25 -
Svi Mykhailiuk 27 2-6 0-3 1-1 3 1 2 0 3 5 2 -
Lance Stephenson 22 4-8 3-6 1-4 4 5 1 0 3 12 11 -
Moritz Wagner 16 5-7 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 12 8 -
Ivica Zubac 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
Isaac Bonga 3 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tomas Satoransky * 45 4-7 1-2 2-2 4 5 3 0 2 11 14 -
John Wall * 42 16-27 4-8 4-6 6 14 3 2 5 40 33 -
Bradley Beal * 38 10-24 4-9 1-1 12 3 0 0 5 25 11 -
Jeff Green * 33 8-15 4-6 0-1 7 1 0 1 0 20 14 -
Thomas Bryant * 28 4-8 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 2 0 8 16 -
Sam Dekker 21 10-15 0-2 0-0 5 4 3 0 3 20 14 -
Troy Brown Jr. 15 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 3 0 1 0 1 -
Markieff Morris 10 2-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Jordan McRae 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Okaro White 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter