Villanova
2022 Team Stats (38 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1394 (#4) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1368 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1218 (#4) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +18.8 (#9) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +17.9 (#11) | HCA +2.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.824 (#20) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.957 (#9) | AdjNet +26.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.959 (#9) | AdjNet +27.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.830 (#9) | AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 56.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.736 (#13) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 59.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.898 (#5) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.888 (#6) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1403 (#3) | RD 85 | GP 38 |
2022 Schedule & Results
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Collin Gillespie
|
- | 38 | 34.2 | 15.6 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 11.4 | 10.6 | 256 | 34 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 43.4 | 41.5 | 90.5 | 2.16 | 61.4 | 56.5 |
Justin Moore
|
- | 36 | 34.6 | 14.8 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 12.7 | 9.1 | 281 | 32 | 8.8 | 10.2 | 39.7 | 35.6 | 75.0 | 3.12 | 52.3 | 48.5 |
Jermaine Samuels
|
- | 38 | 29.6 | 11.1 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 8.3 | 10.7 | 259 | 34 | 7.6 | 10.4 | 47.2 | 27.6 | 77.0 | 3.8 | 56.9 | 51.7 |
Caleb Daniels
|
- | 35 | 27.6 | 10.3 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 8.2 | 6.5 | 151 | 31 | 4.9 | 7.3 | 42.4 | 37.3 | 85.3 | 1.14 | 56.8 | 52.6 |
Eric Dixon
|
- | 38 | 25.2 | 9.1 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 6.8 | 9.8 | 137 | 34 | 4.0 | 6.4 | 49.8 | 48.6 | 82.1 | -0.19 | 58.1 | 53.1 |
Brandon Slater
|
- | 38 | 30.1 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 8.1 | 214 | 34 | 6.3 | 8.6 | 47.8 | 33.7 | 88.1 | 2.67 | 61.7 | 55.4 |
Jordan Longino
|
G | 26 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 65 | 23 | 2.8 | 12.0 | 32.7 | 30.8 | 100.0 | 0.72 | 45.7 | 40.8 |
Arcidiacono, Chris
|
- | 35 | 9.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 36 | 30 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 26.7 | 26.5 | 91.7 | -1.62 | 49.5 | 36.7 |
Bryan Antoine
|
- | 20 | 10.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 72 | 17 | 4.2 | 15.5 | 23.8 | 17.2 | 100.0 | 2.77 | 33.1 | 29.8 |
Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree
|
F | 6 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.0 | -4 | 5 | -0.8 | -5.4 | 25.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -1.94 | 43.4 | 25.0 |
Nnanna Njoku
|
F | 9 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 8 | 0.8 | 9.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.89 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Trey Patterson
|
F | 16 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | -6 | 14 | -0.4 | -5.0 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -3.17 | 39.3 | 40.9 |
Angelo Brizzi
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kevin Voigt
|
G | 7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -7 | 6 | -1.2 | -66.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.88 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2021-2022 Shot Zones
1244 located field-goal attempts in 22 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Collin GillespieJustin MooreJermaine SamuelsCaleb DanielsEric Dixon
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 216-378 | 57.1 | 432 | Jermaine Samuels 22% (94 pts) | Eric Dixon 21% (90 pts) | Eric Dixon 21% (34 misses) | Jermaine Samuels 17% (28 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 59-161 | 36.6 | 118 | Eric Dixon 29% (34 pts) | Jermaine Samuels 22% (26 pts) | Justin Moore 31% (32 misses) | Eric Dixon 19% (19 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 85-115 | 73.9 | 170 | Collin Gillespie 33% (56 pts) | Caleb Daniels 24% (40 pts) | Justin Moore 23% (7 misses) | Caleb Daniels 20% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 63-81 | 77.8 | 126 | Collin Gillespie 37% (46 pts) | Justin Moore 24% (30 pts) | Justin Moore 39% (7 misses) | Collin Gillespie 22% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 95-128 | 74.2 | 190 | Collin Gillespie 28% (54 pts) | Justin Moore 22% (42 pts) | Collin Gillespie 18% (6 misses) | Jermaine Samuels 18% (6 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 0-29 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Caleb Daniels 31% (9 misses) | Jermaine Samuels 24% (7 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-19 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Caleb Daniels 42% (8 misses) | Collin Gillespie 21% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 0-108 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Justin Moore 28% (30 misses) | Collin Gillespie 21% (23 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 0-94 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Collin Gillespie 35% (33 misses) | Justin Moore 22% (21 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 0-131 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Collin Gillespie 27% (35 misses) | Jermaine Samuels 19% (25 misses) |