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Villanova

Also known as: Villanova Wildcats, Villanova
Program History

2022 Team Stats (38 games)

71.7
PPG
62.7
Opp
+9.0
Margin
43.2%
FG%
35.9%
3P%
83.0%
FT%
34.8
RPG
11.9
APG
9.9
TO
63.1
Est. poss./game
73.9
Adj PPG
56.4
Adj Opp PPG
#9
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1394 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1368 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More โ†’ 1218 (#4) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +18.8 (#9) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More โ†’ +17.9 (#11) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.824 (#20) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +26.9 More โ†’ 0.957 (#9) AdjNet +26.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.3 More โ†’ 0.959 (#9) AdjNet +27.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 56.4 More โ†’ 0.830 (#9) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 56.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 59.0 More โ†’ 0.736 (#13) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 59.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.898 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.888 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 85 | GP 38 More โ†’ 1403 (#3) RD 85 | GP 38

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 91 - 51
2021-11-12 @ UCLA Bruins L 77 - 86
2021-11-16 vs Howard Bison W 100 - 81
2021-11-20 @ Tennessee Volunteers W 71 - 53
2021-11-21 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 74 - 80
2021-11-28 @ La Salle Explorers W 72 - 46
2021-12-01 @ Pennsylvania Quakers W 71 - 56
2021-12-04 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 81 - 52
2021-12-07 @ Syracuse Orange W 67 - 53
2021-12-12 @ Baylor Bears L 36 - 57
2021-12-17 @ Creighton Bluejays L 59 - 79
2021-12-21 vs Xavier Musketeers W 71 - 58
2021-12-29 vs Temple Owls - Preview
2022-01-01 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 73 - 67
2022-01-05 vs Creighton Bluejays W 75 - 41
2022-01-08 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 79 - 64
2022-01-12 @ Xavier Musketeers W 64 - 60
2022-01-16 vs Butler Bulldogs W 82 - 42
2022-01-19 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 54 - 57
2022-01-22 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 85 - 74
2022-01-25 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 67 - 43
2022-01-29 vs St. John's Red Storm W 73 - 62
2022-02-02 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 73 - 83
2022-02-05 vs UConn Huskies W 85 - 74
2022-02-08 @ St. John's Red Storm W 75 - 69
2022-02-12 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 73 - 67
2022-02-15 @ Providence Friars W 89 - 84
2022-02-19 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 74 - 66
2022-02-22 @ UConn Huskies L 69 - 71
2022-03-01 vs Providence Friars W 76 - 74
2022-03-05 @ Butler Bulldogs W 78 - 59
2022-03-10 vs St. John's Red Storm W 66 - 65
2022-03-11 vs UConn Huskies W 63 - 60
2022-03-12 vs Creighton Bluejays W 54 - 48
2022-03-18 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 80 - 60
2022-03-20 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 71 - 61
2022-03-24 vs Michigan Wolverines W 63 - 55
2022-03-26 vs Houston Cougars W 50 - 44
2022-04-02 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 65 - 81

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Collin Gillespie Collin Gillespie - 38 34.2 15.6 3.8 3.2 1.0 0.0 1.7 11.4 10.6 256 34 7.5 8.8 43.4 41.5 90.5 2.16 61.4 56.5
Justin Moore Justin Moore - 36 34.6 14.8 4.8 2.2 1.0 0.4 1.4 12.7 9.1 281 32 8.8 10.2 39.7 35.6 75.0 3.12 52.3 48.5
Jermaine Samuels Jermaine Samuels - 38 29.6 11.1 6.5 1.4 0.8 0.7 1.5 8.3 10.7 259 34 7.6 10.4 47.2 27.6 77.0 3.8 56.9 51.7
Caleb Daniels Caleb Daniels - 35 27.6 10.3 3.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 1.3 8.2 6.5 151 31 4.9 7.3 42.4 37.3 85.3 1.14 56.8 52.6
Eric Dixon Eric Dixon - 38 25.2 9.1 6.4 1.3 0.7 0.5 1.4 6.8 9.8 137 34 4.0 6.4 49.8 48.6 82.1 -0.19 58.1 53.1
Brandon Slater Brandon Slater - 38 30.1 8.5 3.7 1.6 1.1 0.3 1.3 5.9 8.1 214 34 6.3 8.6 47.8 33.7 88.1 2.67 61.7 55.4
Jordan Longino Jordan Longino G 26 8.6 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.2 65 23 2.8 12.0 32.7 30.8 100.0 0.72 45.7 40.8
Arcidiacono, Chris Arcidiacono, Chris - 35 9.4 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.9 36 30 1.2 5.0 26.7 26.5 91.7 -1.62 49.5 36.7
Bryan Antoine Bryan Antoine - 20 10.0 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 2.1 1.1 72 17 4.2 15.5 23.8 17.2 100.0 2.77 33.1 29.8
Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree F 6 6.0 0.8 2.3 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 3.0 -4 5 -0.8 -5.4 25.0 0 75.0 -1.94 43.4 25.0
Nnanna Njoku Nnanna Njoku F 9 3.0 0.7 1.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 6 8 0.8 9.0 50.0 0 0 -0.89 50.0 50.0
Trey Patterson Trey Patterson F 16 4.0 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 -6 14 -0.4 -5.0 36.4 33.3 0.0 -3.17 39.3 40.9
Angelo Brizzi Angelo Brizzi G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kevin Voigt Kevin Voigt G 7 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7 6 -1.2 -66.1 0 0 0 -2.88 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2021-2022 Shot Zones

1244 located field-goal attempts in 22 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Samuels22% Dixon29% Gillespie33% Gillespie37% Gillespie28%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Dixon21% Moore31% Moore23% Moore39% Gillespie18% Daniels31% Daniels42% Moore28% Gillespie35% Gillespie27%
Misses: who misses most here

Collin GillespieJustin MooreJermaine SamuelsCaleb DanielsEric Dixon

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 216-378 57.1 432 Jermaine Samuels 22% (94 pts) Eric Dixon 21% (90 pts) Eric Dixon 21% (34 misses) Jermaine Samuels 17% (28 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 59-161 36.6 118 Eric Dixon 29% (34 pts) Jermaine Samuels 22% (26 pts) Justin Moore 31% (32 misses) Eric Dixon 19% (19 misses)
Mid-range left 85-115 73.9 170 Collin Gillespie 33% (56 pts) Caleb Daniels 24% (40 pts) Justin Moore 23% (7 misses) Caleb Daniels 20% (6 misses)
Mid-range center 63-81 77.8 126 Collin Gillespie 37% (46 pts) Justin Moore 24% (30 pts) Justin Moore 39% (7 misses) Collin Gillespie 22% (4 misses)
Mid-range right 95-128 74.2 190 Collin Gillespie 28% (54 pts) Justin Moore 22% (42 pts) Collin Gillespie 18% (6 misses) Jermaine Samuels 18% (6 misses)
Left corner 3 0-29 0.0 0 - - Caleb Daniels 31% (9 misses) Jermaine Samuels 24% (7 misses)
Right corner 3 0-19 0.0 0 - - Caleb Daniels 42% (8 misses) Collin Gillespie 21% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 left 0-108 0.0 0 - - Justin Moore 28% (30 misses) Collin Gillespie 21% (23 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-94 0.0 0 - - Collin Gillespie 35% (33 misses) Justin Moore 22% (21 misses)
Above-break 3 right 0-131 0.0 0 - - Collin Gillespie 27% (35 misses) Jermaine Samuels 19% (25 misses)