Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | -2.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +9 (86-77). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Gillespie * | 42 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Slater * | 41 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels * | 41 | 7-16 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Eric Dixon * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Justin Moore * | 32 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Caleb Daniels | 24 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Chris Arcidiacono | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Trey Patterson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Juzang * | 42 | 9-24 | 1-8 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 7 | - |
| Jules Bernard * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| J. Jaquez Jr. * | 37 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Myles Johnson * | 36 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Tyger Campbell * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| David Singleton | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kenneth Nwuba | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Peyton Watson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter