Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.7% | 58.3% | +0.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +6 (50-44). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Edwards * | 39 | 1-12 | 0-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jamal Shead * | 38 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Taze Moore * | 35 | 6-21 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Fabian White Jr. * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Carlton * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J'Wan Roberts | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Reggie Chaney | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ramon Walker Jr. | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Moore * | 37 | 2-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Slater * | 32 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eric Dixon * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Caleb Daniels | 35 | 4-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Chris Arcidiacono | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter