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Temple Owls 17-12
@
2021-12-29
Villanova Wildcats 30-8

Model Predictions

Model Temple Owls Villanova Wildcats Spread Projected
Elo
2021-22 season-end ratings
 7.4% (#117) 92.6% (#4) Villano... -17.1 63-80
Bradley-Terry
2021-22 season-end ratings
 13.2% (#114) 86.8% (#3) - -
Margin
2021-22 season-end ratings
 4.5% (#111) 95.5% (#9) Villano... -16.8 -
Pythagorean
2021-22 season-end ratings
 35.4% (#169) 64.6% (#20) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2021-22 season-end ratings
 1.6% (#113) 98.4% (#9) - -
Log Adjusted
2021-22 season-end ratings
 1.3% (#112) 98.7% (#9) - -
Points Off/Def
2021-22 season-end ratings
 17.7% (#112) 82.3% (#9) - -

2021-22 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.5 points per 100 Elo plus a 1.9-point home edge (2020-21 margin fit); projected score: 2020-21's average total of 142 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Temple Owls Villanova Wildcats
Games 1 38
PPG 46.0 71.7
FG% 31.0% 43.2%
3PT% 25.0% 35.9%
FT% 60.7% 83.0%
RPG 32.0 34.8
APG 6.0 11.9
SPG 8.0 6.0
BPG 4.0 2.2
TOPG 20.0 9.9

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Temple Owls Villanova Wildcats
Adj. Off Eff 103.3 113.4
Adj. Def Eff 96.7 86.6
Adj. Net Eff 6.6 26.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Temple Owls Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Khalif Battle 23.0 5.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 32.7
Damian Dunn 14.4 4.1 2.1 1.0 0.3 30.3
Jeremiah Williams 10.3 3.6 3.8 1.0 0.5 30.0
Jahlil White 7.5 6.3 1.6 1.2 0.6 26.8
Nick Jourdain 6.5 5.3 0.7 0.6 1.6 23.3

Villanova Wildcats Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Justin Moore 14.8 4.8 2.3 1.0 0.4 34.6
Collin Gillespie 15.6 3.8 3.2 1.0 0.0 34.2
Brandon Slater 8.5 3.7 1.6 1.1 0.3 30.1
Jermaine Samuels Jr. 11.1 6.5 1.4 0.8 0.7 29.6
Caleb Daniels 10.3 3.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 27.6