Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | +5.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +11 (85-74). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Martin * | 38 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R.J. Cole * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Adama Sanogo * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Jackson * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Isaiah Whaley * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Polley | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 17 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Gaffney | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Samson Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Samuels * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Caleb Daniels * | 36 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Eric Dixon * | 33 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Brandon Slater * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 27 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Chris Arcidiacono | 26 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Longino | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Bryan Antoine | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter