Model Predictions
| Model | Creighton Bluejays | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | +10.0 | ✓ (24.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.7% | 86.3% | +10.1 | ✓ (23.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +34 (75-41). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nembhard * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Alex O'Connell * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Hawkins * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Arthur Kaluma * | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Trey Alexander | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| KeyShawn Feazell | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Rati Andronikashvili | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| John Christofilis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Modestas Kancleris | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Devin Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Moore * | 32 | 8-20 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Eric Dixon * | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Slater * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Bryan Antoine | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Longino | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Chris Arcidiacono | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trey Patterson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nnanna Njoku | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter