Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | -7.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | -0.7 | ✗ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +2 (71-69). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Samuels * | 37 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Slater * | 37 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Justin Moore * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Eric Dixon * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Caleb Daniels | 27 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Chris Arcidiacono | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Martin * | 36 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R.J. Cole * | 35 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Adama Sanogo * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Isaiah Whaley * | 30 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Jackson * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Polley | 20 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Gaffney | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter