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Villanova

Also known as: Villanova Wildcats, Villanova
Program History

2012 Team Stats (4 games)

66.8
PPG
77.2
Opp
-10.5
Margin
37.0%
FG%
28.2%
3P%
74.5%
FT%
36.0
RPG
11.3
APG
15.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.6
Adj PPG
66.2
Adj Opp PPG
#84
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1131 (#108) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1027 (#146) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 954 (#231) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +7.1 (#79) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +7.3 (#73) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.507 (#165) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.5 More โ†’ 0.790 (#77) AdjNet +11.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.7 More โ†’ 0.794 (#76) AdjNet +11.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 66.2 More โ†’ 0.641 (#84) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 66.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 66.7 More โ†’ 0.567 (#107) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 66.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.633 (#110) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.619 (#111) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1042 (#142) RD 136 | GP 31

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Monmouth Hawks W 106 - 70
2011-11-15 vs La Salle Explorers W 76 - 69
2011-11-18 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 79 - 69
2011-11-24 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 71 - 46
2011-11-25 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 68 - 80
2011-11-27 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 64 - 65
2011-12-03 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 73 - 65
2011-12-06 vs Missouri Tigers L 71 - 81
2011-12-10 @ Temple Owls L 67 - 78
2011-12-13 vs Boston University Terriers W 68 - 43
2011-12-17 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 58 - 74
2011-12-22 vs American University Eagles W 73 - 52
2011-12-28 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 69 - 83
2012-01-01 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 77 - 81
2012-01-05 vs South Florida Bulls L 57 - 74
2012-01-08 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 87 - 71
2012-01-11 vs Syracuse Orange L 66 - 79
2012-01-14 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 78 - 82
2012-01-18 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 84 - 76
2012-01-25 @ Louisville Cardinals L 74 - 84
2012-01-28 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 78 - 82
2012-02-05 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 70 - 79
2012-02-07 vs Providence Friars W 74 - 72
2012-02-15 @ South Florida Bulls L 51 - 65
2012-02-18 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 70 - 74
2012-02-20 vs UConn Huskies L 70 - 73
2012-02-25 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 46 - 67
2012-03-01 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 77 - 71
2012-03-03 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 68 - 72
2012-03-06 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 70 - 49
2012-03-07 @ South Florida Bulls L 47 - 56

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Maalik Wayns Maalik Wayns G 28 33.3 17.2 3.9 4.6 0.9 0.0 2.9 4.6 19.2 35 26 1.3 1.7 42.3 35.8 88.1 2.43 154.5 49.6
Dominic Cheek Dominic Cheek G 31 30.2 12.3 3.8 1.3 1.0 0.2 1.5 4.3 12.7 -1 28 0.0 -0.1 39.1 32.9 78.8 1.56 122.2 48.1
Mouphtaou Yarou Mouphtaou Yarou F 31 27.3 11.5 8.0 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.4 3.0 17.0 58 28 2.1 3.2 44.6 0 70.7 3.64 151.5 44.6
JayVaughn Pinkston JayVaughn Pinkston F 31 25.5 9.5 4.9 1.1 0.6 0.4 2.5 3.0 11.1 -70 28 -2.5 -4.3 43.5 42.1 70.7 -2.72 115.2 47.8
James Bell James Bell G 28 22.4 6.9 3.8 1.3 0.6 0.3 1.1 1.6 10.1 19 26 0.7 1.4 42.2 43.3 75.0 0.72 197.9 56.7
Darrun Hilliard Darrun Hilliard G 28 18.3 4.9 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.8 1.6 6.7 12 24 0.5 1.1 34.1 26.1 78.9 -0.9 129.9 40.9
Maurice Sutton Maurice Sutton F-C 23 14.8 3.9 3.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.7 1.2 7.0 -12 22 -0.5 -1.9 64.3 0.0 50.0 2.1 141.2 64.3
Tyrone Johnson Tyrone Johnson G 31 18.1 3.5 1.1 2.0 0.6 0.1 1.9 1.4 4.0 -86 28 -3.1 -8.4 33.3 27.3 100.0 -3.98 115.3 36.9
Markus Kennedy Markus Kennedy F 30 14.9 3.1 4.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 1.1 1.4 6.6 -30 27 -1.1 -3.5 42.9 0.0 11.1 -0.52 100.1 42.9
Ash Yacoubou Ash Yacoubou G 25 11.0 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 2.7 46 22 2.1 8.3 37.5 30.8 100.0 2.09 168.8 50.0
Dallas Ouano Dallas Ouano G 2 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.97 0 0
Nick McMahon Nick McMahon G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.0 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG