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2012-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats South Florida Bulls Spread Result
Elo 21.2% 78.8% +8.1 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% - โœ“
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“

Actual: South Florida Bulls +9 (56-47). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maalik Wayns * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 3 0 3 9 18 -
Mouphtaou Yarou * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 20 21 -
Dominic Cheek * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 7 -
Maurice Sutton * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 1 4 11 -
JayVaughn Pinkston * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 2 3 -
James Bell 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 9 -
Tyrone Johnson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 5 -
Markus Kennedy 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 0 3 -
Darrun Hilliard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Collins * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 1 7 17 18 -
Hugh Robertson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 8 10 -
Ron Anderson Jr. * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 3 9 -
Augustus Gilchrist * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 3 8 -
Victor Rudd * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 2 13 19 -
Toarlyn Fitzpatrick 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 10 -
Jawanza Poland 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 6 10 -
Blake Nash 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter