Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | +12.7 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.4% | 88.6% | +11.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +4 (81-77). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maalik Wayns * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Darrun Hilliard * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| JayVaughn Pinkston * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Mouphtaou Yarou * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Dominic Cheek * | 20 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Ash Yacoubou | 22 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Tyrone Johnson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| James Bell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Sutton | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dallas Ouano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson-Odom * | 37 | 8-18 | 4-6 | 4-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Jamil Wilson * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Junior Cadougan * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Vander Blue * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Todd Mayo | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Davante Gardner | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Derrick Wilson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Juan Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter