Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | +16.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +10 (84-74). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Bell * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Dominic Cheek * | 30 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| JayVaughn Pinkston * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Mouphtaou Yarou * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Maalik Wayns * | 23 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Tyrone Johnson | 21 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Darrun Hilliard | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Maurice Sutton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ash Yacoubou | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuric * | 39 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Peyton Siva * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 37 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 25 | - |
| Chane Behanan * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Russ Smith * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Chris Smith | 34 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jared Swopshire | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Elisha Justice | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kevin Ware | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter