Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Atkins * | 45 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Scott Martin * | 44 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jack Cooley * | 42 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Jerian Grant * | 42 | 3-15 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Pat Connaughton * | 35 | 7-15 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Alex Dragicevich | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Joey Brooks | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tom Knight | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JayVaughn Pinkston * | 45 | 7-18 | 4-8 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Dominic Cheek * | 44 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Tyrone Johnson * | 40 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Sutton * | 40 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Mouphtaou Yarou * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Darrun Hilliard | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter