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VCU

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: VCU Rams, VCU
Program History
Coach: Will Wade

2017 Team Stats (9 games)

78.3
PPG
67.2
Opp
+11.1
Margin
46.8%
FG%
35.4%
3P%
70.3%
FT%
38.4
RPG
15.1
APG
10.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.3
Adj PPG
65.9
Adj Opp PPG
#49
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1334 (#31) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1239 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 1103 (#44) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +11.0 (#51) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +10.0 (#56) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.780 (#38) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.3 More → 0.867 (#52) AdjNet +16.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.4 More → 0.869 (#52) AdjNet +16.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 65.9 More → 0.720 (#49) AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 65.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.659 (#42) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 67.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.787 (#36) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.777 (#35) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 35 More → 1269 (#28) RD 110 | GP 35

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 80 - 65
2016-11-15 @ Liberty Flames W 64 - 59
2016-11-18 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 81 - 42
2016-11-23 @ Baylor Bears L 63 - 71
2016-11-24 @ St. John's Red Storm W 75 - 69
2016-11-25 vs LSU Tigers W 85 - 74
2016-11-29 vs Princeton Tigers W 81 - 70
2016-12-03 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 46 - 64
2016-12-07 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 73 - 76
2016-12-10 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 67 - 64
2016-12-17 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 80 - 77
2016-12-22 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 78 - 65
2016-12-27 vs Howard Bison W 85 - 51
2016-12-30 @ George Mason Patriots W 73 - 64
2017-01-04 @ Duquesne Dukes W 94 - 87
2017-01-07 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 81 - 64
2017-01-11 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 85 - 55
2017-01-14 @ Davidson Wildcats L 63 - 69
2017-01-18 @ Fordham Rams L 67 - 69
2017-01-22 vs La Salle Explorers W 90 - 52
2017-01-27 vs Dayton Flyers W 73 - 68
2017-02-01 vs Richmond Spiders W 81 - 74
2017-02-04 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 83 - 77
2017-02-08 @ George Washington Revolutionaries W 54 - 53
2017-02-11 vs Davidson Wildcats W 74 - 60
2017-02-14 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 91 - 81
2017-02-17 @ Richmond Spiders W 84 - 73
2017-02-22 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 64 - 50
2017-02-25 @ Rhode Island Rams L 59 - 69
2017-03-01 @ Dayton Flyers L 72 - 79
2017-03-04 vs George Mason Patriots W 72 - 60
2017-03-10 vs George Mason Patriots W 71 - 60
2017-03-11 vs Richmond Spiders W 87 - 77
2017-03-12 vs Rhode Island Rams L 63 - 70
2017-03-16 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 77 - 85

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
JeQuan Lewis JeQuan Lewis G 24 31.2 15.8 2.4 4.6 1.6 0.0 2.5 5.3 16.7 232 30 7.7 11.2 42.2 32.8 86.4 4.28 128.6 50.0
Justin Tillman Justin Tillman F 22 25.3 12.1 8.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 1.2 4.1 16.3 163 28 5.8 9.7 60.4 0 57.7 -0.06 130.3 60.4
Samir Doughty Samir Doughty G 24 23.1 9.8 3.8 2.5 1.0 0.1 1.9 3.8 11.6 228 30 7.6 14.1 46.7 43.5 74.4 3.42 108.3 52.2
Mo Alie-Cox Mo Alie-Cox F 24 25.5 8.6 3.8 0.8 0.7 2.0 1.5 2.7 11.7 245 30 8.2 13.4 52.3 0 75.0 3.12 143.7 52.3
Jonathan Williams Jonathan Williams G 23 23.5 8.2 2.0 3.4 0.8 0.1 1.5 4.2 8.8 153 30 5.1 9.5 45.8 12.5 84.8 2.22 85.1 46.4
Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed F 23 13.5 6.1 3.7 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 2.0 8.0 -3 29 -0.1 -0.4 48.9 0 55.0 -2.63 112.6 48.9
Doug Brooks Doug Brooks G 24 20.2 5.4 2.8 1.8 1.5 0.1 1.1 2.1 8.3 149 30 5.0 10.9 41.2 29.0 90.9 1.67 115.5 50.0
Jordan Burgess Jordan Burgess G 24 21.8 5.0 3.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.8 2.0 7.7 45 30 1.5 3.2 46.8 46.2 41.2 -4.66 111.0 53.2
De'Riante Jenkins De'Riante Jenkins G 16 13.4 5.0 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.6 1.4 6.0 -16 16 -1.0 -3.6 40.9 46.2 50.0 -4.22 168.4 54.5
Malik Crowfield Malik Crowfield G 23 10.0 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 68 29 2.3 10.2 36.4 33.3 100.0 -0.09 102.7 52.3
Marquell Fraser Marquell Fraser G 10 4.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.6 -7 13 -0.5 -6.8 50.0 0.0 100.0 -3.52 82.0 50.0
Torey Burston Torey Burston G 7 7.0 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.4 13 10 1.3 12.6 12.5 0.0 60.0 0.08 34.3 12.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG