Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +14 (64-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hines * | 40 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Davell Roby * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Mike Crawford * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Elliott Welmer * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Zeke Moore | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Agbeko | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Matt Neufeld | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samir Doughty * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Justin Tillman * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Doug Brooks * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| JeQuan Lewis * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Mo Alie-Cox * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jonathan Williams | 26 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Burgess | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed | 19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Malik Crowfield | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Torey Burston | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marquell Fraser | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter