Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Pollard * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| S. Smith * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Davis * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Cooke * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| R. Mikesell * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Davis | 25 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| X. Williams | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Crosby | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| S. Miller | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Doughty * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Lewis * | 30 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Tillman * | 25 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| M. Alie-Cox * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Brooks * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Williams | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Burgess | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Crowfield | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Hamdy-Mohamed | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| M. Fraser | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter