Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✗ (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: VCU Rams -18 (46-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| L. Black * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| J. Coleman-Lands * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| M. Thorne Jr. * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Morgan | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Tate | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| M. Finke | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Jordan | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Lucas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Burgess * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Doug Brooks * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| JeQuan Lewis * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mo Alie-Cox | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Samir Doughty | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Justin Tillman | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| De'Riante Jenkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malik Crowfield | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marquell Fraser | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter